Diana Shnaider vs Ekaterina Alexandrova
Monterrey | Hard | Final
24 Aug 2025, 00:30
24 Aug 2025, 00:30
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Diana … | Ekaterina … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Diana Shnaider
Ranking
#21
UTR Rating
12.33 Pro
UTR Ranking
#36
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
48/77 = 62.3%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Ranking
#10
UTR Rating
12.80 Pro
UTR Ranking
#6
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
41/71 = 57.7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -11.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.4762 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0.7419 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2.0000 | |
| points_diff | -1509.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -1.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -1.4530 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 4.3951 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1.0845 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 2.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 56.9986 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 58.4516 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 61.7284 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 57.3333 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 77.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 71.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.2468 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -8.1179 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -4.7995 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1.0728 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -6.0407 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 1.6671 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -3.0200 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 90.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 92.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -2.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0.0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -1.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.8640 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.8625 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.4000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5.8639 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6.0867 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 1.0780 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.0810 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.0735 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.4700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.5094 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.5647 | |
| utr_advantage | -3.7405 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
8379
API ID
14427810
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Monterrey
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 8379,
"api_id": 14427810,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Diana Shnaider",
"player2": "Ekaterina Alexandrova",
"tournament": "Monterrey",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Final",
"date": "2025-08-24T00:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 21,
"utr_singles": 12.33,
"utr_ranking": 36,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 62.33766233766234,
"wr_surface_wins": 48,
"wr_surface_total": 77,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 10,
"utr_singles": 12.8,
"utr_ranking": 6,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 57.74647887323944,
"wr_surface_wins": 41,
"wr_surface_total": 71,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.33,
"ranking": 36,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.8,
"ranking": 6,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": -11,
"rank_ratio": 0.47619047619047616,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.7419373447293773,
"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"points_diff": -1509,
"best_rank_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": -1.4530154277699978,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 4.395061728395056,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.0845070422535212,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_p1": 56.99859747545581,
"surface_wr_p2": 58.45161290322581,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 61.72839506172839,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 57.333333333333336,
"p1_surface_matches": 77,
"p2_surface_matches": 71,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.24675324675324675,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -8.117903225806444,
"first_serve_won_diff": -4.7994758064516105,
"second_serve_won_diff": 1.072782258064521,
"bp_saved_diff": -6.0407258064516185,
"bp_converted_diff": 1.6670564516129005,
"aces_per_match_diff": -3.0199999999999996,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 89.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 92.0,
"momentum_diff": -2.000000000000014,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"h2h_wins_diff": -1,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.864,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.862453531598513,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.863890460670108,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.08673677456054,
"surface_rank_synergy": 1.0780464083304926,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.08098597475455815,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.07351612903225802,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.47000000000000064,
"utr_p1": 0.5094117647058823,
"utr_p2": 0.5647058823529413,
"utr_advantage": -3.7405491444488708,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
"utr_p1": "0.012",
"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
"utr_available": "0.0172"
}
}