Mariano Navone vs Marcos Giron
US Open | Hard | Round of 128
24 Aug 2025, 22:05
24 Aug 2025, 22:05
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Mariano … | Marcos … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Mariano Navone
Ranking
#72
UTR Rating
15.34 Pro
UTR Ranking
#75
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
8/31 = 25.8%
Marcos Giron
Ranking
#64
UTR Rating
15.55 Pro
UTR Ranking
#54
Forma L5
0% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
29/60 = 48.3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -8.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.8889 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0.1178 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| points_diff | -70.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 8.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -18.9207 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -19.8661 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.5167 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 27.0168 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 45.9375 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 28.5714 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 48.4375 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 31.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 60.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0.4839 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -4.7671 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -4.1671 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0.5467 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -1.9923 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -2.4644 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1.4238 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 50.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 39.3750 | |
| current_streak_diff | 4.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 3.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 5.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.6602 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.8699 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.4000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.5200 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 2.2372 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 3.6870 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 2.2285 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.2218 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.0486 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.2100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.8635 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.8882 | |
| utr_advantage | -1.3597 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
8397
API ID
14506193
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
US Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Mariano Navone",
"player2": "Marcos Giron",
"tournament": "US Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2025-08-24T22:05:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
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"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
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},
"tnnslive": {
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"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
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"p2": {
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"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
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"utr": {
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"best_rank_diff": 8,
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"p2_surface_matches": 60,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.4838709677419355,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -4.767071691176469,
"first_serve_won_diff": -4.167098214285716,
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"bp_saved_diff": -1.9923214285714224,
"bp_converted_diff": -2.4644196428571448,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.4237657563025214,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666666,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
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"momentum_diff": 50.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 39.375,
"current_streak_diff": 4,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 5,
"match_load_p1": 3,
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"match_load_diff": 2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 1,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"h2h_on_surface": 1,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6601941747572816,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8698630136986302,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.52,
"serve_consistency_p1": 2.2371911652488756,
"serve_consistency_p2": 3.686950077296808,
"surface_rank_synergy": 2.2285366909250084,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.22183193277310925,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.04862500000000003,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.21000000000000085,
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"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 1,
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"feature_importance": {
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"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
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"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
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}