Brandon Nakashima vs Jesper De Jong
US Open | Hard | Round of 128
24 Aug 2025, 23:05
24 Aug 2025, 23:05
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Brandon … | Jesper … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Brandon Nakashima
Ranking
#33
UTR Rating
15.61 Pro
UTR Ranking
#50
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
57/95 = 60.0%
Jesper De Jong
Ranking
#76
UTR Rating
15.16 Pro
UTR Ranking
#91
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
26/47 = 55.3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 43.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2.3030 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0.8342 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1.0000 | |
| points_diff | 667.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 47.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 3.9780 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 4.6940 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 2.0213 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 56.9780 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 53.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 59.5960 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 54.9020 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 95.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 47.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.2000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 2.1689 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 1.8051 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2.0507 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 6.8860 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -0.1172 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0.3256 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0.6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 38.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 92.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -54.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -31.3300 | |
| current_streak_diff | -4.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 11.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.9785 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.9000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.4902 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.5517 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 2.5444 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4.3509 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 3.3186 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.0268 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.0730 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 3.9780 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.4500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.8953 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.8424 | |
| utr_advantage | 2.9249 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
8398
API ID
14519822
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
US Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"player1": "Brandon Nakashima",
"player2": "Jesper De Jong",
"tournament": "US Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2025-08-24T23:05:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
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"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
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},
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"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"wr_surface": 60.0,
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"wr_surface_total": 95,
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},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 15.16,
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"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
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},
"utr": {
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"best_rank_diff": 47,
"surface_wr_diff": 3.978021978021985,
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"surface_matches_ratio": 2.021276595744681,
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"p2_surface_matches": 47,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.2,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 2.1689359906759904,
"first_serve_won_diff": 1.8050593406593407,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.050699500499512,
"bp_saved_diff": 6.886042357642353,
"bp_converted_diff": -0.11720899100899373,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.3255982350982336,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666667,
"momentum_p1": 38.0,
"momentum_p2": 92.0,
"momentum_diff": -54.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -31.33,
"current_streak_diff": -4,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 11,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9785407725321889,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.49019607843137253,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5517241379310345,
"serve_consistency_p1": 2.5444312701697323,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.350886717164548,
"surface_rank_synergy": 3.3185684827778745,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.026780219780219938,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.07299999999999995,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 3.978021978021985,
"utr_diff": 0.4499999999999993,
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"utr_p2": 0.8423529411764706,
"utr_advantage": 2.9249268768280747,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
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"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
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"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
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"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
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"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
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}