Brandon Nakashima vs Jesper De Jong
US Open | Hard | Round of 128
25 Ago 2025, 03:05
25 Ago 2025, 03:05
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Brandon … | Jesper … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Brandon Nakashima
Ranking
#30
UTR Rating
15,41 Pro
UTR Ranking
#33
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
21/39 = 53,8%
Jesper De Jong
Ranking
#73
UTR Rating
14,97 Pro
UTR Ranking
#92
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
11/22 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 43,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2,4333 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,8893 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 772,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 42,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 3,9780 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 4,6940 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 2,0213 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 56,9780 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 53,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 59,5960 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 54,9020 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 95,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 47,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 2,1689 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 1,8051 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2,0507 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 6,8860 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -0,1172 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,3256 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 38,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 92,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -54,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -28,1560 | |
| current_streak_diff | -4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 11,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,9785 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,9000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4902 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5517 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 2,5444 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,3509 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 3,5375 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0268 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0730 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 3,9780 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,4400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8718 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8200 | |
| utr_advantage | 2,8966 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
8398
API ID
14519822
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
US Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 8398,
"api_id": 14519822,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Brandon Nakashima",
"player2": "Jesper De Jong",
"tournament": "US Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2025-08-24T23:05:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"ranking": 30,
"utr_singles": 15.41,
"utr_ranking": 33,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 53.84615384615385,
"wr_surface_wins": 21,
"wr_surface_total": 39,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 73,
"utr_singles": 14.97,
"utr_ranking": 92,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 11,
"wr_surface_total": 22,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.41,
"ranking": 33,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 92,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 2.433333333333333,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.8892620594862357,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"points_diff": 772,
"best_rank_diff": 42,
"surface_wr_diff": 3.978021978021985,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 4.693998811645862,
"surface_matches_ratio": 2.021276595744681,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_p1": 56.978021978021985,
"surface_wr_p2": 53.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 59.59595959595959,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 54.90196078431373,
"p1_surface_matches": 95,
"p2_surface_matches": 47,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.2,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 2.1689359906759904,
"first_serve_won_diff": 1.8050593406593407,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.050699500499512,
"bp_saved_diff": 6.886042357642353,
"bp_converted_diff": -0.11720899100899373,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.3255982350982336,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666667,
"momentum_p1": 38.0,
"momentum_p2": 92.0,
"momentum_diff": -54.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -28.15599999999999,
"current_streak_diff": -4,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 11,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9785407725321889,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.49019607843137253,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5517241379310345,
"serve_consistency_p1": 2.5444312701697323,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.350886717164548,
"surface_rank_synergy": 3.5375040168573397,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.026780219780219938,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.07299999999999995,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 3.978021978021985,
"utr_diff": 0.4399999999999995,
"utr_p1": 0.871764705882353,
"utr_p2": 0.8200000000000001,
"utr_advantage": 2.89664252797893,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}