Novak Djokovic vs Learner Tien
US Open | Hard | Round of 128
25 Ago 2025, 03:15
25 Ago 2025, 03:15
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Novak … | Learner … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Novak Djokovic
Ranking
#4
UTR Rating
16,01 Pro
UTR Ranking
#3
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
21/28 = 75,0%
Learner Tien
Ranking
#29
UTR Rating
15,56 Pro
UTR Ranking
#21
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
35/50 = 70,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 25,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 7,2500 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,9810 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 3240,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 25,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 3,6471 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 1,6484 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,4752 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -8,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 75,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 71,3529 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 73,0769 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 71,4286 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 48,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 101,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,5000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 13,4013 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 7,8402 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1,7134 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 4,1856 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -1,6972 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 4,4836 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 20,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 32,1000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 44,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 14,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,9940 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,6092 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5652 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6230 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,5067 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,3879 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 7,2248 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,2250 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,2385 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 7,2941 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,4500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,9424 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8894 | |
| utr_advantage | 2,8508 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1048
utr_diff
0,0861
surface_wr_diff
0,0678
points_diff
0,0255
surface_rank_synergy
0,0236
h2h_win_rate_p1
0,0231
utr_both_pro
0,0206
rank_ratio
0,0174
rank_advantage
0,0169
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0167
Info del Partido
Match ID
8399
API ID
14506210
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
US Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 8399,
"api_id": 14506210,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Novak Djokovic",
"player2": "Learner Tien",
"tournament": "US Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2025-08-24T23:15:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 4,
"utr_singles": 16.01,
"utr_ranking": 3,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 75.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 21,
"wr_surface_total": 28,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 29,
"utr_singles": 15.56,
"utr_ranking": 21,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 70.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 35,
"wr_surface_total": 50,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 16.01,
"ranking": 3,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.56,
"ranking": 21,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 7.25,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.9810014688665833,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"points_diff": 3240,
"best_rank_diff": 25,
"surface_wr_diff": 3.647058823529406,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.6483516483516354,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.4752475247524752,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -8,
"surface_wr_p1": 75.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 71.3529411764706,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 73.07692307692307,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 71.42857142857143,
"p1_surface_matches": 48,
"p2_surface_matches": 101,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.5,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 13.401299999999992,
"first_serve_won_diff": 7.840199999999996,
"second_serve_won_diff": 1.7134117647058815,
"bp_saved_diff": 4.185623529411771,
"bp_converted_diff": -1.6971647058823578,
"aces_per_match_diff": 4.483588235294116,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 60.0,
"momentum_p2": 40.0,
"momentum_diff": 20.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 32.10000000000001,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 44,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 14,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9939577039274925,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6091549295774648,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5652173913043478,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6229508196721312,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.506702767968093,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.3879440612069835,
"surface_rank_synergy": 7.224828886454587,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.22499999999999998,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.238529411764706,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 7.294117647058812,
"utr_diff": 0.45000000000000107,
"utr_p1": 0.9423529411764707,
"utr_p2": 0.8894117647058825,
"utr_advantage": 2.850807728856516,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0169",
"rank_ratio": "0.0174",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0143",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0139",
"points_diff": "0.0255",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0159",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0678",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0167",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0116",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0111",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0151",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0144",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0117",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0112",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0109",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0118",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0132",
"p1_confidence": "0.0121",
"p2_confidence": "0.0124",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0108",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0119",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0106",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0112",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0103",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0127",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.012",
"momentum_p1": "0.0106",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0126",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0134",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0109",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0114",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0107",
"match_load_p1": "0.0104",
"match_load_p2": "0.0107",
"match_load_diff": "0.0107",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0131",
"h2h_matches": "0.0098",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0231",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0106",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0133",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.011",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0122",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0127",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0108",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0109",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.011",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0236",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0124",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0114",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.015",
"utr_diff": "0.0861",
"utr_p1": "0.0119",
"utr_p2": "0.0107",
"utr_advantage": "0.1048",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0206",
"utr_available": "0.0143"
}
}