Jelena Ostapenko vs Xiyu Wang
US Open | Hard | Round of 128
24 Aug 2025, 20:15
24 Aug 2025, 20:15
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Jelena … | Xiyu … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jelena Ostapenko
Ranking
#23
UTR Rating
12.10 Pro
UTR Ranking
#78
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
28/52 = 53.8%
Xiyu Wang
Ranking
#175
UTR Rating
11.89 Pro
UTR Ranking
#132
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
27/54 = 50.0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 152.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 7.6087 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 2.0293 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2.0000 | |
| points_diff | 1396.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 44.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -3.9785 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 3.5714 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.9630 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 2.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 46.0215 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 50.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 53.5714 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50.0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 52.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 54.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.0769 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 1.9096 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 1.2759 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -4.8234 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -0.6985 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -0.2214 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1.3593 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.6000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0.6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 20.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 92.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -72.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -50.3550 | |
| current_streak_diff | -5.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 11.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.7981 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.6474 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.5714 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.3529 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 11.9702 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6.0400 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -8.0735 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.1918 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.1520 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -7.9570 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.2100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.4824 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.4576 | |
| utr_advantage | 1.7507 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
8412
API ID
14519804
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
US Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"match": {
"id": 8412,
"api_id": 14519804,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Jelena Ostapenko",
"player2": "Xiyu Wang",
"tournament": "US Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2025-08-24T20:15:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 12.1,
"utr_ranking": 78,
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"wr_surface": 53.84615384615385,
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"wr_surface_total": 52,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 175,
"utr_singles": 11.89,
"utr_ranking": 132,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 27,
"wr_surface_total": 54,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 78,
"division": "Pro",
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},
"p2": {
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"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 7.608695652173913,
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"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"points_diff": 1396,
"best_rank_diff": 44,
"surface_wr_diff": -3.9784946236559193,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 3.5714285714285694,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.9629629629629629,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2,
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"surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 53.57142857142857,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"p1_surface_matches": 52,
"p2_surface_matches": 54,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.07692307692307693,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 1.9095851726089421,
"first_serve_won_diff": 1.2758743633276737,
"second_serve_won_diff": -4.82337860780985,
"bp_saved_diff": -0.6985229202037431,
"bp_converted_diff": -0.22144312393887589,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.359330786644029,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.6000000000000001,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666667,
"momentum_p1": 20.0,
"momentum_p2": 92.0,
"momentum_diff": -72.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -50.355,
"current_streak_diff": -5,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 11,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7981220657276995,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6473988439306358,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5714285714285714,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.35294117647058826,
"serve_consistency_p1": 11.970159817212608,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.0400433596725485,
"surface_rank_synergy": -8.073526349009848,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.19178494623655923,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.15200000000000002,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -7.956989247311839,
"utr_diff": 0.20999999999999908,
"utr_p1": 0.48235294117647054,
"utr_p2": 0.45764705882352946,
"utr_advantage": 1.7507294706127476,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
"utr_p1": "0.012",
"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
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}
}