Sebastián Báez vs Lloyd Harris
US Open | Hard | Round of 128
25 Ago 2025, 19:00
25 Ago 2025, 19:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Sebastián … | Lloyd … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Sebastián Báez
Ranking
#36
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
3/14 = 21,4%
Lloyd Harris
Ranking
#221
UTR Rating
15,15 Pro
UTR Ranking
#73
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
7/16 = 43,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 185,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 6,1389 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,8146 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 3,0000 | |
| points_diff | 1134,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 13,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -26,8015 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -28,2468 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,7750 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 23,8235 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 50,6250 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 28,5714 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 56,8182 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 31,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 40,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,4839 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -24,3533 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -8,4625 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -5,3087 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -8,5654 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 5,0908 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -9,2647 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 38,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 92,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -54,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -35,0900 | |
| current_streak_diff | -4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,6667 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,8615 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3333 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 1,3015 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 11,0662 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -48,6351 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,4468 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1913 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -80,4044 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8412 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8412 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
8425
API ID
14520001
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
US Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Sebasti\u00e1n B\u00e1ez",
"player2": "Lloyd Harris",
"tournament": "US Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2025-08-25T15:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
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"p2": null
},
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"player_stats": {
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"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 15.15,
"utr_ranking": 73,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 43.75,
"wr_surface_wins": 7,
"wr_surface_total": 16,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
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"utr": {
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"best_rank_diff": 13,
"surface_wr_diff": -26.80147058823529,
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"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2,
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"p1_surface_matches": 31,
"p2_surface_matches": 40,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.4838709677419355,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -24.35328676470587,
"first_serve_won_diff": -8.462499999999991,
"second_serve_won_diff": -5.308749999999996,
"bp_saved_diff": -8.565367647058821,
"bp_converted_diff": 5.0908088235294,
"aces_per_match_diff": -9.26470588235294,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666667,
"momentum_p1": 38.0,
"momentum_p2": 92.0,
"momentum_diff": -54.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -35.089999999999996,
"current_streak_diff": -4,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 4,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
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"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8615384615384616,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
"serve_consistency_p1": 1.3014928444138336,
"serve_consistency_p2": 11.066170722223676,
"surface_rank_synergy": -48.635121443821234,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.44676470588235306,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.19125000000000003,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -80.40441176470587,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"utr_p1": 0.8411764705882353,
"utr_p2": 0.8411764705882353,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0
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"feature_importance": {
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"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
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}