Mattia Bellucci vs Juncheng Shang
US Open | Hard | Round of 128
25 Aug 2025, 18:10
25 Aug 2025, 18:10
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Mattia … | Juncheng … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Mattia Bellucci
Ranking
#74
UTR Rating
14.93 Pro
UTR Ranking
#104
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
52/96 = 54.2%
Juncheng Shang
Ranking
#253
UTR Rating
15.44 Pro
UTR Ranking
#62
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
33% (9p)
WR Hard
33/57 = 57.9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 179.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 3.4189 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1.2293 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2.0000 | |
| points_diff | 551.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -16.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -1.9612 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -3.3770 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1.6842 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 46.8760 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 48.8372 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 54.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 57.3770 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 96.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 57.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.0833 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 2.5403 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -1.8616 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 3.6557 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 2.4929 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -4.1306 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1.1872 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 30.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 10.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 20.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 19.0710 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 5.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 17.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.7500 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.7599 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.6000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.6538 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8.6408 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 1.7026 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -2.4110 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.2102 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.1674 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -3.9225 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.5100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.8153 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.8753 | |
| utr_advantage | -3.3586 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
8433
API ID
14506188
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
US Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Mattia Bellucci",
"player2": "Juncheng Shang",
"tournament": "US Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2025-08-25T18:10:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
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"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
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},
"tnnslive": {
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"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"wr_surface": 54.166666666666664,
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"wr_surface_total": 96,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
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},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 15.44,
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"wr_surface": 57.89473684210527,
"wr_surface_wins": 33,
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"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
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"utr": {
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"best_rank_diff": -16,
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"p1_surface_matches": 96,
"p2_surface_matches": 57,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.08333333333333333,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 2.5403285018372515,
"first_serve_won_diff": -1.8616428682569364,
"second_serve_won_diff": 3.655687321212703,
"bp_saved_diff": 2.4928680175705296,
"bp_converted_diff": -4.1305854049719315,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.187221869800954,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.2,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 30.0,
"momentum_p2": 10.0,
"momentum_diff": 20.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 19.071000000000005,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 5,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 17,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.75,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7598784194528876,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6538461538461539,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.640811546918938,
"serve_consistency_p2": 1.702580010362047,
"surface_rank_synergy": -2.4110054632665365,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.21024034997426666,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.16737209302325579,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -3.922488599504476,
"utr_diff": -0.5099999999999998,
"utr_p1": 0.8152941176470588,
"utr_p2": 0.8752941176470588,
"utr_advantage": -3.35857754362858,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
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"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
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"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
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"utr_p2": "0.0115",
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}