Jan-Lennard Struff vs Mackenzie McDonald
US Open | Hard | Round of 128
25 Aug 2025, 20:00
25 Aug 2025, 20:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Jan-Lennard … | Mackenzie … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jan-Lennard Struff
Ranking
#84
UTR Rating
15.32 Pro
UTR Ranking
#78
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
18/45 = 40.0%
Mackenzie McDonald
Ranking
#112
UTR Rating
14.86 Pro
UTR Ranking
#110
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
42/74 = 56.8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 28.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1.3333 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0.2877 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1.0000 | |
| points_diff | 152.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 16.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -15.0748 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -15.5939 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.6081 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 40.6680 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 55.7428 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 40.8163 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 56.4103 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 45.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 74.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0.2000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 8.9512 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 3.9776 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2.5962 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -2.7315 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -12.0198 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 3.8706 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 90.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 32.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 58.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 43.8950 | |
| current_streak_diff | 4.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 3.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 5.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1.0771 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.5725 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.4643 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6.5524 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6.0339 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -4.3367 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.1213 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.0854 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -15.0748 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.4600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.8612 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.8071 | |
| utr_advantage | 3.0484 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
8439
API ID
14520002
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
US Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"match": {
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"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Jan-Lennard Struff",
"player2": "Mackenzie McDonald",
"tournament": "US Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2025-08-25T20:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
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"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
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},
"tnnslive": {
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"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"wr_surface": 40.0,
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"wr_surface_total": 45,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
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"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
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},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 14.86,
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"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
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"utr": {
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"best_rank_diff": 16,
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"p2_surface_matches": 74,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.2,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 8.951169600617618,
"first_serve_won_diff": 3.9776242178873673,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.596226783486081,
"bp_saved_diff": -2.731486171081812,
"bp_converted_diff": -12.019790434212766,
"aces_per_match_diff": 3.870612763359876,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666667,
"momentum_p1": 89.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 32.0,
"momentum_diff": 57.999999999999986,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 43.894999999999996,
"current_streak_diff": 4,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 5,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
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"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0771349862258952,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5725190839694656,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
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"serve_consistency_p1": 6.552367478371568,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.033917737697963,
"surface_rank_synergy": -4.336743260924343,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.12131983805668017,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.08542793791574288,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -15.074777597242303,
"utr_diff": 0.46000000000000085,
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"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
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"feature_importance": {
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"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
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"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
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"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
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}