Reilly Opelka vs Carlos Alcaraz
US Open | Hard | Round of 128
26 Aug 2025, 01:50
26 Aug 2025, 01:50
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Reilly … | Carlos … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Reilly Opelka
Ranking
#50
UTR Rating
15.33 Pro
UTR Ranking
#76
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
24/47 = 51.1%
Carlos Alcaraz
Ranking
#1
UTR Rating
16.42 Pro
UTR Ranking
#2
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
90% (10p)
WR Hard
61/75 = 81.3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -49.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.0200 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -3.9120 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2.0000 | |
| points_diff | -11024.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -16.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -33.2326 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -28.7664 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.6267 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -6.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 49.5000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 82.7326 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50.9804 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 79.7468 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 47.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 75.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.0213 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 19.9607 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 1.6260 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -4.7936 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 9.4301 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -12.7315 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 10.2929 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 52.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 100.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -48.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -16.9200 | |
| current_streak_diff | -6.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 13.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 7.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -4.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1.0270 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1.3579 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.4412 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.5238 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9.4718 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 2.6866 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 130.0065 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.0440 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.2783 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -1.0900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.8624 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.9906 | |
| utr_advantage | -6.8661 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
8445
API ID
14506187
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
US Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
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