Reilly Opelka vs Carlos Alcaraz
US Open | Hard | Round of 128
26 Ago 2025, 05:50
26 Ago 2025, 05:50
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Reilly … | Carlos … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Reilly Opelka
Ranking
#63
UTR Rating
15,11 Pro
UTR Ranking
#79
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
21/35 = 60,0%
Carlos Alcaraz
Ranking
#1
UTR Rating
16,32 Pro
UTR Ranking
#2
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
90% (10p)
WR Hard
37/43 = 86,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -62,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,0159 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -4,1431 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -3,0000 | |
| points_diff | -11177,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -16,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -33,2326 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -28,7664 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,6267 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -6,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 49,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 82,7326 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,9804 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 79,7468 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 47,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 75,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0213 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 19,9607 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 1,6260 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -4,7936 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 9,4301 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -12,7315 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 10,2929 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 52,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -48,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -16,9200 | |
| current_streak_diff | -6,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 13,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 7,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -4,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,0270 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,3579 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4412 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5238 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,4718 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 2,6866 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 137,6870 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0570 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,2653 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -1,2100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8365 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,9788 | |
| utr_advantage | -7,6997 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
8445
API ID
14506187
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
US Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2025-08-26T01:50:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
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"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
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"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
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"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
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