Reilly Opelka vs Carlos Alcaraz
US Open | Hard | Round of 128
26 Aug 2025, 01:50
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Reilly … Carlos … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Reilly Opelka
Ranking #50
UTR Rating 15.33 Pro
UTR Ranking #76
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 24/47 = 51.1%
Carlos Alcaraz
Ranking #1
UTR Rating 16.42 Pro
UTR Ranking #2
Forma L5 100% (5p)
Forma L10 90% (10p)
WR Hard 61/75 = 81.3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -49.0000
rank_ratio 0.0200
log_rank_ratio -3.9120
rank_tier_advantage -2.0000
points_diff -11024.0000
best_rank_diff -16.0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -33.2326
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -28.7664
surface_matches_ratio 0.6267
surface_tournaments_won_diff -6.0000
surface_wr_p1 49.5000
surface_wr_p2 82.7326
surface_wr_p1_stable 50.9804
surface_wr_p2_stable 79.7468
p1_surface_matches 47.0000
p2_surface_matches 75.0000
p1_surface_dominance 0.0213
Confianza
p1_confidence 1.0000
p2_confidence 1.0000
combined_confidence 1.0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 19.9607
first_serve_won_diff 1.6260
second_serve_won_diff -4.7936
bp_saved_diff 9.4301
bp_converted_diff -12.7315
aces_per_match_diff 10.2929
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0.4000
last3_wr_diff -0.3333
momentum_p1 52.0000
momentum_p2 100.0000
momentum_diff -48.0000
weighted_momentum_diff -16.9200
current_streak_diff -6.0000
days_since_last_match_p1 13.0000
days_since_last_match_p2 7.0000
match_load_p1 1.0000
match_load_p2 5.0000
match_load_diff -4.0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0.0000
h2h_matches 0.0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0.5000
h2h_on_surface 0.0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0.5000
h2h_confidence_score 0.0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1.0270
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1.3579
tiebreak_wr_p1 0.4412
tiebreak_wr_p2 0.5238
serve_consistency_p1 9.4718
serve_consistency_p2 2.6866
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 130.0065
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0.0440
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0.2783
elite_surface_amplifier 0.0000
UTR
utr_diff -1.0900
utr_p1 0.8624
utr_p2 0.9906
utr_advantage -6.8661
utr_both_pro 1.0000
utr_available 1.0000
utr_expected_prob 0.0000
utr_closeness 0.0000
utr_data_quality 0.0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff 0.1032
surface_rank_synergy 0.0540
points_diff 0.0344
utr_diff 0.0324
utr_advantage 0.0308
rank_tier_advantage 0.0300
rank_advantage 0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0.0206
log_rank_ratio 0.0186
utr_available 0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID 8445
API ID 14506187
Gamdom ID -
Torneo US Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 128
Status finished
JSON Data
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