Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova vs Dayana Yastremska
US Open | Hard | Round of 128
25 Aug 2025, 15:00
25 Aug 2025, 15:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Anastasia … | Dayana … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
Ranking
#47
UTR Rating
12.20 Pro
UTR Ranking
#55
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
29/51 = 56.9%
Dayana Yastremska
Ranking
#27
UTR Rating
12.30 Pro
UTR Ranking
#38
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
30/56 = 53.6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -20.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.5745 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0.5543 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| points_diff | -420.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 10.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -7.0096 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 3.0303 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.9107 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 47.1667 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 54.1762 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 56.3636 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 53.3333 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 51.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 56.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.1373 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 1.4577 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 3.8481 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -4.0523 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -5.7828 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -4.4797 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0.3747 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0.6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 68.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -66.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -57.0100 | |
| current_streak_diff | -5.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 5.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 15.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.9044 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.7851 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.7692 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.6923 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9.4354 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4.3640 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 3.8855 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.0083 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.0218 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.1000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.4941 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.5059 | |
| utr_advantage | -0.8163 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
8446
API ID
14506274
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
US Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 8446,
"api_id": 14506274,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova",
"player2": "Dayana Yastremska",
"tournament": "US Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2025-08-25T15:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 47,
"utr_singles": 12.2,
"utr_ranking": 55,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 56.86274509803921,
"wr_surface_wins": 29,
"wr_surface_total": 51,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 27,
"utr_singles": 12.3,
"utr_ranking": 38,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 53.57142857142857,
"wr_surface_wins": 30,
"wr_surface_total": 56,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 55,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 38,
"division": "Pro",
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}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 0.574468085106383,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.5543107357057294,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"points_diff": -420,
"best_rank_diff": 10,
"surface_wr_diff": -7.009578544061291,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 3.030303030303024,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.9107142857142857,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 47.166666666666664,
"surface_wr_p2": 54.176245210727956,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 56.36363636363636,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 53.333333333333336,
"p1_surface_matches": 51,
"p2_surface_matches": 56,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.13725490196078433,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 1.4576934865900384,
"first_serve_won_diff": 3.848122605363983,
"second_serve_won_diff": -4.052260536398464,
"bp_saved_diff": -5.7827586206896555,
"bp_converted_diff": -4.479655172413786,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.3746551724137932,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666666,
"momentum_p1": 2.0,
"momentum_p2": 68.0,
"momentum_diff": -66.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -57.01000000000002,
"current_streak_diff": -5,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 5,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 15,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9043715846994536,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7850746268656716,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7692307692307693,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6923076923076923,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.43535770520705,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.3640029331426975,
"surface_rank_synergy": 3.88548463974571,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.00833333333333336,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.021762452107279562,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.10000000000000142,
"utr_p1": 0.49411764705882344,
"utr_p2": 0.5058823529411766,
"utr_advantage": -0.8163265306122565,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
"utr_p1": "0.012",
"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
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}
}