Madison Keys vs Renata Zarazua
US Open | Hard | Round of 128
25 Aug 2025, 15:30
25 Aug 2025, 15:30
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Madison … | Renata … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Madison Keys
Ranking
#7
UTR Rating
12.48 Pro
UTR Ranking
#22
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
31/44 = 70.5%
Renata Zarazua
Ranking
#79
UTR Rating
12.06 Pro
UTR Ranking
#86
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
23/51 = 45.1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 72.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 11.2857 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 2.4235 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 3.0000 | |
| points_diff | 3484.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 46.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 25.9846 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 23.2955 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.8627 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 70.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 44.0154 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 68.7500 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 45.4545 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 44.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 51.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.4091 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 12.3764 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 8.5958 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2.6557 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 6.1210 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -5.2210 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 3.6409 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 52.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 22.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 30.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 25.6200 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 11.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 5.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.7643 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.5140 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.7500 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 2.6093 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8.3883 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 62.9747 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.1280 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.0122 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 77.9538 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.4200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.5271 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.4776 | |
| utr_advantage | 3.4230 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
8452
API ID
14506264
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
US Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"match": {
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"api_id": 14506264,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Madison Keys",
"player2": "Renata Zarazua",
"tournament": "US Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2025-08-25T15:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
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"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
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"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 12.48,
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"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 12.06,
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"wr_surface": 45.09803921568628,
"wr_surface_wins": 23,
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"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
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}
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"utr": {
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"ranking": 22,
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"best_rank_diff": 46,
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"p2_surface_matches": 51,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.4090909090909091,
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"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 12.376424615384614,
"first_serve_won_diff": 8.595784615384616,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.6556846153846223,
"bp_saved_diff": 6.121019230769221,
"bp_converted_diff": -5.22097500000001,
"aces_per_match_diff": 3.6409134615384615,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 52.0,
"momentum_p2": 22.0,
"momentum_diff": 30.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 25.620000000000005,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 11,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 5,
"match_load_p1": 2,
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"match_load_diff": 1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
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"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
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"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
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"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7642857142857142,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5139664804469274,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.75,
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"serve_consistency_p1": 2.6092734020918833,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.388261612038118,
"surface_rank_synergy": 62.974695093267314,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.1279999999999999,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.012153846153846182,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 77.95384615384617,
"utr_diff": 0.41999999999999993,
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"utr_advantage": 3.4229828850855744,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
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"feature_importance": {
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"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
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"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
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"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
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"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
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"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
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}
}