Elena Rybakina vs Julieta Pareja
US Open | Hard | Round of 128
25 Ago 2025, 21:45
25 Ago 2025, 21:45
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Elena … | Julieta … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Elena Rybakina
Ranking
#5
UTR Rating
12,98 Pro
UTR Ranking
#1
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
43/55 = 78,2%
Julieta Pareja
Ranking
#349
UTR Rating
11,53 Junior
UTR Ranking
#10
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
71% (7p)
WR Hard
0/2 = 0,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 344,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 69,8000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 4,2456 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 5,0000 | |
| points_diff | 5670,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 314,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 58,1648 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 15,5977 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 17,4000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 78,1648 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 20,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 76,9231 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 54,0972 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 87,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 5,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,5632 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 21,5961 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 16,4236 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 3,8990 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 18,1193 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -9,5989 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 6,1073 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 27,9000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 8,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 141,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 4,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,9128 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,1667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5172 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,1408 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 15,3897 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 246,9463 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0624 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0440 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 290,8239 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 1,4500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5859 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4153 | |
| utr_advantage | 11,8319 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
8458
API ID
14506279
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
US Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 8458,
"api_id": 14506279,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Elena Rybakina",
"player2": "Julieta Pareja",
"tournament": "US Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2025-08-25T17:45:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 5,
"utr_singles": 12.98,
"utr_ranking": 1,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 78.18181818181819,
"wr_surface_wins": 43,
"wr_surface_total": 55,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 349,
"utr_singles": 11.53,
"utr_ranking": 10,
"utr_division": "Junior",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 2,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 71.42857142857143,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 7
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.98,
"ranking": 1,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.53,
"ranking": 10,
"division": "Junior",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": 344,
"rank_ratio": 69.8,
"log_rank_ratio": 4.2456340097683265,
"rank_tier_advantage": 5,
"points_diff": 5670,
"best_rank_diff": 314,
"surface_wr_diff": 58.16477272727272,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 15.597667378917388,
"surface_matches_ratio": 17.4,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_p1": 78.16477272727272,
"surface_wr_p2": 19.999999999999996,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 76.92307692307693,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 54.09722222222222,
"p1_surface_matches": 87,
"p2_surface_matches": 5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.5632183908045977,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.36666666666666664,
"combined_confidence": 0.6833333333333333,
"serve_quality_diff": 21.596143181818185,
"first_serve_won_diff": 16.423568181818176,
"second_serve_won_diff": 3.899000000000001,
"bp_saved_diff": 18.11931818181818,
"bp_converted_diff": -9.598931818181825,
"aces_per_match_diff": 6.1073295454545455,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 60.0,
"momentum_p2": 60.0,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 27.89999999999999,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 8,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 141,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"match_load_diff": 4,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.912751677852349,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.16666666666666666,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5172413793103449,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.140791875515946,
"serve_consistency_p2": 15.389701792051572,
"surface_rank_synergy": 246.94633726135427,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.06235227272727273,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.04399999999999993,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 290.8238636363636,
"utr_diff": 1.450000000000001,
"utr_p1": 0.5858823529411765,
"utr_p2": 0.41529411764705876,
"utr_advantage": 11.831905344757251,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}