Maria Sakkari vs Tatjana Maria
US Open | Hard | Round of 128
25 Aug 2025, 20:30
25 Aug 2025, 20:30
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Maria … | Tatjana … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Maria Sakkari
Ranking
#51
UTR Rating
12.19 Pro
UTR Ranking
#58
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
30/58 = 51.7%
Tatjana Maria
Ranking
#45
UTR Rating
11.95 Pro
UTR Ranking
#119
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
28/66 = 42.4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -6.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.8824 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0.1252 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1.0000 | |
| points_diff | -113.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 33.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 11.6165 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 8.7558 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.8788 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 49.5652 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 37.9487 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 51.6129 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 42.8571 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 58.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 66.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.0345 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 1.3570 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 2.3512 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 3.7518 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 10.3684 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0.1286 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0.4721 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 22.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 38.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -16.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -10.9200 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 6.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 4.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.6193 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.7607 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.4615 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.5385 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6.0088 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 11.6347 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -1.4540 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.0017 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.1265 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.2400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.4929 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.4647 | |
| utr_advantage | 1.9884 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
8462
API ID
14506245
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
US Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Maria Sakkari",
"player2": "Tatjana Maria",
"tournament": "US Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2025-08-25T20:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
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"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
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},
"tnnslive": {
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},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 12.19,
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"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
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"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 11.95,
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"utr": {
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"p1_surface_matches": 58,
"p2_surface_matches": 66,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.034482758620689655,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 1.357007977207978,
"first_serve_won_diff": 2.35124885420538,
"second_serve_won_diff": 3.7517772822990167,
"bp_saved_diff": 10.368386721169337,
"bp_converted_diff": 0.12860770469466587,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.4720748172922087,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 22.0,
"momentum_p2": 38.0,
"momentum_diff": -16.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -10.920000000000002,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 6,
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"match_load_p1": 1,
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"match_load_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
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"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
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"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
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"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6192893401015228,
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"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.46153846153846156,
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"serve_consistency_p1": 6.008840245856805,
"serve_consistency_p2": 11.63465829257533,
"surface_rank_synergy": -1.4539575803575735,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.0016521739130434532,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.1265128205128206,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.2400000000000002,
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"utr_advantage": 1.988400994200499,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
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"feature_importance": {
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"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
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"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
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"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
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"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
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"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
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}