Elsa Jacquemot vs Marie Bouzkova
US Open | Hard | Round of 128
26 Ago 2025, 01:50
26 Ago 2025, 01:50
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Elsa … | Marie … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Elsa Jacquemot
Ranking
#60
UTR Rating
11,94 Pro
UTR Ranking
#122
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
18/28 = 64,3%
Marie Bouzkova
Ranking
#44
UTR Rating
12,48 Pro
UTR Ranking
#22
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
20/32 = 62,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -16,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,7333 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,3102 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -155,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -31,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -0,1136 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -0,5636 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,7692 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 60,1136 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 57,4074 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 57,9710 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 50,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 65,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1600 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 6,0288 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 2,9169 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,4957 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 3,5047 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -2,8820 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2,2108 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 58,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -1,3500 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,8824 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,6822 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4545 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,3598 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 11,5237 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0352 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1160 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0851 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,5400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4635 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5271 | |
| utr_advantage | -4,4226 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
8463
API ID
14506283
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
US Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 8463,
"api_id": 14506283,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Elsa Jacquemot",
"player2": "Marie Bouzkova",
"tournament": "US Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2025-08-25T21:50:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 60,
"utr_singles": 11.94,
"utr_ranking": 122,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 64.28571428571429,
"wr_surface_wins": 18,
"wr_surface_total": 28,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 44,
"utr_singles": 12.48,
"utr_ranking": 22,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 62.5,
"wr_surface_wins": 20,
"wr_surface_total": 32,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 122,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 22,
"division": "Pro",
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}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 0.7333333333333333,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.3101549283038396,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"points_diff": -155,
"best_rank_diff": -31,
"surface_wr_diff": -0.11363636363635976,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -0.5636070853462201,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.7692307692307693,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_p1": 60.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 60.11363636363636,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 57.407407407407405,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 57.971014492753625,
"p1_surface_matches": 50,
"p2_surface_matches": 65,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.16,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 6.028761363636363,
"first_serve_won_diff": 2.9169318181818085,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0.495681818181815,
"bp_saved_diff": 3.5046590909090867,
"bp_converted_diff": -2.8820454545454552,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.210795454545454,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 60.0,
"momentum_p2": 57.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": 2.000000000000007,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -1.3499999999999943,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"match_load_p1": 5,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8823529411764706,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6822429906542056,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.45454545454545453,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.359847030926248,
"serve_consistency_p2": 11.523744778753763,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.03524487821634421,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.11599999999999999,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.08513636363636357,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.5400000000000009,
"utr_p1": 0.4635294117647058,
"utr_p2": 0.5270588235294118,
"utr_advantage": -4.42260442260443,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}