Darja Semenistaja vs Peyton Stearns
US Open | Hard | Round of 128
25 Aug 2025, 22:55
25 Aug 2025, 22:55
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Darja … | Peyton … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Darja Semenistaja
Ranking
#101
UTR Rating
11.98 Pro
UTR Ranking
#111
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
15/32 = 46.9%
Peyton Stearns
Ranking
#63
UTR Rating
12.15 Pro
UTR Ranking
#65
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
20% (10p)
WR Hard
23/53 = 43.4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -38.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.6238 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0.4720 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1.0000 | |
| points_diff | -234.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -59.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -2.9431 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 3.3626 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.6038 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 2.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 38.9855 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 41.9286 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 47.2222 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 43.8596 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 32.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 53.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0.0625 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -6.7580 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -4.9329 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2.8381 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -12.9434 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -3.7348 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1.7200 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.6000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 92.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 20.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 72.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 54.2700 | |
| current_streak_diff | 5.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 3.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 7.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.7692 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.7698 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.6667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.4118 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8.4812 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6.4427 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 1.3891 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.0721 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.1187 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.1700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.4682 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.4882 | |
| utr_advantage | -1.4090 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
8466
API ID
14519997
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
US Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 8466,
"api_id": 14519997,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Darja Semenistaja",
"player2": "Peyton Stearns",
"tournament": "US Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2025-08-25T22:55:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 101,
"utr_singles": 11.98,
"utr_ranking": 111,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 46.875,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 32,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 63,
"utr_singles": 12.15,
"utr_ranking": 65,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 43.39622641509434,
"wr_surface_wins": 23,
"wr_surface_total": 53,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 20.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.98,
"ranking": 111,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.15,
"ranking": 65,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": -38,
"rank_ratio": 0.6237623762376238,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.47198579044972677,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"points_diff": -234,
"best_rank_diff": -59,
"surface_wr_diff": -2.9430641821946253,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 3.362573099415208,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.6037735849056604,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_p1": 38.985507246376805,
"surface_wr_p2": 41.92857142857143,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 47.22222222222222,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 43.859649122807014,
"p1_surface_matches": 32,
"p2_surface_matches": 53,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.0625,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -6.758004085576253,
"first_serve_won_diff": -4.932939130434775,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.838121739130429,
"bp_saved_diff": -12.943443478260868,
"bp_converted_diff": -3.734765217391299,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.7200489993098689,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.6000000000000001,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666667,
"momentum_p1": 92.0,
"momentum_p2": 20.0,
"momentum_diff": 72.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 54.27,
"current_streak_diff": 5,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 7,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7692307692307693,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.769811320754717,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4117647058823529,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.481185108555632,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.442696730797598,
"surface_rank_synergy": 1.389084474377409,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.07214492753623192,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.11871428571428572,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.16999999999999993,
"utr_p1": 0.4682352941176471,
"utr_p2": 0.4882352941176471,
"utr_advantage": -1.4090343970161618,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
"utr_p1": "0.012",
"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
"utr_available": "0.0172"
}
}