Venus Williams vs Karolina Muchova
US Open | Hard | Round of 128
26 Ago 2025, 03:15
26 Ago 2025, 03:15
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Venus … | Karolina … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Venus Williams
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
11,62 Pro
UTR Ranking
#156
Forma L5
33% (3p)
Forma L10
33% (3p)
WR Hard
1/4 = 25,0%
Karolina Muchova
Ranking
#19
UTR Rating
12,57 Pro
UTR Ranking
#18
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
24/37 = 64,9%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Venus Williams
Record 2025
1W - 3L (25%)
Racha
3L
UTR Oponentes
12,3
Últimos 5:
L
L
L
W
Karolina Muchova
Sin datos UTR v4
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -481,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,0380 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -3,2702 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -4,0000 | |
| points_diff | -2083,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -492,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -51,5896 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -29,9000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,1071 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 17,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 69,0896 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 25,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 68,3333 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 6,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 56,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,6667 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3800 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6900 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -7,7107 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -5,4408 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -14,7338 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -21,1346 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 7,7043 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,2851 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2667 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 22,2222 | |
| momentum_p2 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -17,7778 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -13,9933 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 18,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 13,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,9167 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,1027 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6429 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,0677 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,1094 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 168,7068 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1560 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,2901 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,9500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4259 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5376 | |
| utr_advantage | -7,8545 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
8468
API ID
14506259
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
US Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 8468,
"api_id": 14506259,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Venus Williams",
"player2": "Karolina Muchova",
"tournament": "US Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2025-08-25T23:15:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 11.62,
"utr_ranking": 156,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 1,
"utr_v4_losses": 3,
"utr_v4_wr": 25.0,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 3,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.26,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.57,
"opponent_name": "Karolina Muchova"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.27,
"opponent_name": "Jessica Bouzas Maneiro"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.05,
"opponent_name": "Magdalena Frech"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.15,
"opponent_name": "Peyton Stearns"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:56.364977+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 25.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 1,
"wr_surface_total": 4,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 33.33333333333333,
"form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 19,
"utr_singles": 12.57,
"utr_ranking": 18,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 64.86486486486487,
"wr_surface_wins": 24,
"wr_surface_total": 37,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 156,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.57,
"ranking": 18,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": -481,
"rank_ratio": 0.038,
"log_rank_ratio": -3.270169119255751,
"rank_tier_advantage": -4,
"points_diff": -2083,
"best_rank_diff": -492,
"surface_wr_diff": -51.5896159317212,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -29.899999999999995,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.10714285714285714,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 17.5,
"surface_wr_p2": 69.0896159317212,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 25.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 68.33333333333333,
"p1_surface_matches": 6,
"p2_surface_matches": 56,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.6666666666666666,
"p1_confidence": 0.38,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 0.69,
"serve_quality_diff": -7.710668563300146,
"first_serve_won_diff": -5.440810810810817,
"second_serve_won_diff": -14.733783783783778,
"bp_saved_diff": -21.13459459459459,
"bp_converted_diff": 7.704324324324325,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.2850640113798013,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.26666666666666666,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 22.222222222222225,
"momentum_p2": 40.0,
"momentum_diff": -17.777777777777775,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -13.993333333333332,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 18,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 13,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9166666666666666,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.1027397260273972,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6428571428571429,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.067675428131691,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.109430102380034,
"surface_rank_synergy": 168.7067688941792,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.15599999999999997,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.29010384068278805,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.9500000000000011,
"utr_p1": 0.4258823529411764,
"utr_p2": 0.5376470588235295,
"utr_advantage": -7.854485324514271,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
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}