Lorenzo Musetti vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
US Open | Hard | Round of 128
26 Ago 2025, 19:00
26 Ago 2025, 19:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Lorenzo … | Giovanni … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Lorenzo Musetti
Ranking
#5
UTR Rating
15,74 Pro
UTR Ranking
#10
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
22/37 = 59,5%
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Ranking
#61
UTR Rating
15,11 Pro
UTR Ranking
#76
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
12/28 = 42,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 56,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 12,2000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 2,5014 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 3,0000 | |
| points_diff | 3200,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 24,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 7,5307 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -0,4686 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,9583 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -4,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 56,6216 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 49,0909 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 54,7945 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 55,2632 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 69,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 72,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1014 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -20,4382 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -7,5095 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -4,1701 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -8,1337 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 7,4315 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -7,7162 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 20,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 58,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -38,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -33,3000 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 17,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -4,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,0466 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,8639 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5152 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5893 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,8040 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,0277 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 18,8376 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0102 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0469 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 22,5921 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,6300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,9106 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8365 | |
| utr_advantage | 4,0843 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1048
utr_diff
0,0861
surface_wr_diff
0,0678
points_diff
0,0255
surface_rank_synergy
0,0236
h2h_win_rate_p1
0,0231
utr_both_pro
0,0206
rank_ratio
0,0174
rank_advantage
0,0169
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0167
Info del Partido
Match ID
8470
API ID
14506226
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
US Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"match": {
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"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Lorenzo Musetti",
"player2": "Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard",
"tournament": "US Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2025-08-26T15:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
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"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
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},
"tnnslive": {
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}
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"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
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"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 15.11,
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"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 28,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
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"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
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"utr": {
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"ranking": 76,
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"features": {
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"points_diff": 3200,
"best_rank_diff": 24,
"surface_wr_diff": 7.530712530712535,
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"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -4,
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"surface_wr_p2": 49.090909090909086,
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"p1_surface_matches": 69,
"p2_surface_matches": 72,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.10144927536231885,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -20.4381848894349,
"first_serve_won_diff": -7.509479422604443,
"second_serve_won_diff": -4.17009367321868,
"bp_saved_diff": -8.133730036855042,
"bp_converted_diff": 7.431518734643738,
"aces_per_match_diff": -7.716208538083537,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 20.0,
"momentum_p2": 57.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": -37.99999999999999,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -33.30000000000001,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 17,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"match_load_diff": -4,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0466321243523315,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8639455782312925,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5151515151515151,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5892857142857143,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.803972436538388,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.027667317591499,
"surface_rank_synergy": 18.83759506653731,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.010216216216216156,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.0469090909090909,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 22.592137592137604,
"utr_diff": 0.6300000000000008,
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"utr_p2": 0.8364705882352941,
"utr_advantage": 4.084278768233393,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0169",
"rank_ratio": "0.0174",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0143",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0139",
"points_diff": "0.0255",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0159",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0678",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0167",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0116",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0111",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0151",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0144",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0117",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0112",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0109",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0118",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0132",
"p1_confidence": "0.0121",
"p2_confidence": "0.0124",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0108",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0119",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0106",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0112",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0103",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0127",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.012",
"momentum_p1": "0.0106",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0126",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0134",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0109",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0114",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0107",
"match_load_p1": "0.0104",
"match_load_p2": "0.0107",
"match_load_diff": "0.0107",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0131",
"h2h_matches": "0.0098",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0231",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0106",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0133",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.011",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0122",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0127",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
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"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0109",
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"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0124",
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"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.015",
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"utr_p1": "0.0119",
"utr_p2": "0.0107",
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"utr_both_pro": "0.0206",
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}