Alexander Bublik vs Marin Čilić
US Open | Hard | Round of 128
26 Aug 2025, 17:00
26 Aug 2025, 17:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alexander … | Marin … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alexander Bublik
Ranking
#11
UTR Rating
16.13 Pro
UTR Ranking
#5
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
90% (10p)
WR Hard
36/66 = 54.5%
Marin Čilić
Ranking
#75
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
18/36 = 50.0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 64.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 6.8182 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1.9196 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2.0000 | |
| points_diff | 2105.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -8.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 4.8889 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 4.2857 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1.8333 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 54.8889 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 50.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 54.2857 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50.0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 66.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 36.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.0909 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 3.3396 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0.7932 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2.8643 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 3.4754 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -0.1739 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2.2978 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 100.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 58.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 42.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 9.5300 | |
| current_streak_diff | 6.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 31.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 50.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.9455 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.8493 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.4286 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.3636 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5.9602 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8.9793 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 9.3847 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.0151 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.0640 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 9.7778 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.9565 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.9565 | |
| utr_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0.0000 | |
| utr_available | 0.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
8475
API ID
14506231
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
US Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"player1": "Alexander Bublik",
"player2": "Marin \u010cili\u0107",
"tournament": "US Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2025-08-26T17:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
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},
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"player_stats": {
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"p2_confidence": 1.0,
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"last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
"momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
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"momentum_diff": 41.99999999999999,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 9.530000000000001,
"current_streak_diff": 6,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 31,
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"match_load_p1": 0,
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"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
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"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
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"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
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"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9454545454545454,
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"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.42857142857142855,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.36363636363636365,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.960198691914905,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.979256367891804,
"surface_rank_synergy": 9.384676110274366,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.015111111111111186,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.06400000000000006,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 9.777777777777771,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
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"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
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"feature_importance": {
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"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
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"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
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"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
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"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
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"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
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