Hugo Gaston vs Shintaro Mochizuki
US Open | Hard | Round of 128
26 Ago 2025, 23:30
26 Ago 2025, 23:30
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Hugo … | Shintaro … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Hugo Gaston
Ranking
#93
UTR Rating
14,71 Pro
UTR Ranking
#125
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
24/39 = 61,5%
Shintaro Mochizuki
Ranking
#112
UTR Rating
14,58 Pro
UTR Ranking
#150
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
26/43 = 60,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 19,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,2043 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,1859 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 109,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 34,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -0,2394 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -0,1063 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,8235 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 55,6576 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 55,8970 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 52,7027 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 52,8090 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 70,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 85,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0571 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 2,6009 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 3,4958 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2,4874 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 2,0010 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -1,0350 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0534 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,6000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -1,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 8,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 92,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -84,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -62,3700 | |
| current_streak_diff | -6,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 8,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,9679 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7388 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,7143 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3810 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,4237 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,9607 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -0,0445 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0376 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0780 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -0,2394 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,1300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7894 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7741 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,8877 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
8480
API ID
14520004
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
US Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 8480,
"api_id": 14520004,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Hugo Gaston",
"player2": "Shintaro Mochizuki",
"tournament": "US Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2025-08-26T19:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 14.71,
"utr_ranking": 125,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 61.53846153846154,
"wr_surface_wins": 24,
"wr_surface_total": 39,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 14.58,
"utr_ranking": 150,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 60.46511627906976,
"wr_surface_wins": 26,
"wr_surface_total": 43,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 125,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 150,
"division": "Pro",
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},
"features": {
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"log_rank_ratio": 0.18589937814183863,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"points_diff": 109,
"best_rank_diff": 34,
"surface_wr_diff": -0.23944172856400314,
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"surface_matches_ratio": 0.8235294117647058,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
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"surface_wr_p2": 55.8970099667774,
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"surface_wr_p2_stable": 52.80898876404494,
"p1_surface_matches": 70,
"p2_surface_matches": 85,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.05714285714285714,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 2.600856898290502,
"first_serve_won_diff": 3.4957627868505483,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.4874328747021863,
"bp_saved_diff": 2.001036852619741,
"bp_converted_diff": -1.0350435136256593,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.05337282122728482,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.6000000000000001,
"last3_wr_diff": -1.0,
"momentum_p1": 8.0,
"momentum_p2": 92.0,
"momentum_diff": -84.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -62.370000000000005,
"current_streak_diff": -6,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 8,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 4,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.967948717948718,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7388059701492538,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7142857142857143,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.38095238095238093,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.4236988810629665,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.960666330477434,
"surface_rank_synergy": -0.044512068441255104,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.037575682382133935,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.07797009966777402,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.23944172856400314,
"utr_diff": 0.13000000000000078,
"utr_p1": 0.7894117647058825,
"utr_p2": 0.7741176470588236,
"utr_advantage": 0.8876749743939965,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}