Christopher O'Connell vs Alex de Minaur
US Open | Hard | Round of 128
26 Aug 2025, 21:35
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Christopher … Alex … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Christopher O'Connell
Ranking #115
UTR Rating 15.06 Pro
UTR Ranking #97
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 42/77 = 54.5%
Alex de Minaur
Ranking #7
UTR Rating 16.07 Pro
UTR Ranking #7
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 69/98 = 70.4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -108.0000
rank_ratio 0.0609
log_rank_ratio -2.7990
rank_tier_advantage -4.0000
points_diff -3589.0000
best_rank_diff -47.0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -16.6375
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -15.2869
surface_matches_ratio 0.7857
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1.0000
surface_wr_p1 53.9291
surface_wr_p2 70.5666
surface_wr_p1_stable 54.3210
surface_wr_p2_stable 69.6078
p1_surface_matches 77.0000
p2_surface_matches 98.0000
p1_surface_dominance 0.0909
Confianza
p1_confidence 1.0000
p2_confidence 1.0000
combined_confidence 1.0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0.3495
first_serve_won_diff -4.9380
second_serve_won_diff -8.4354
bp_saved_diff 5.0242
bp_converted_diff -1.9284
aces_per_match_diff 2.6746
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0.0000
last3_wr_diff 0.3333
momentum_p1 58.0000
momentum_p2 30.0000
momentum_diff 28.0000
weighted_momentum_diff 15.6590
current_streak_diff 1.0000
days_since_last_match_p1 7.0000
days_since_last_match_p2 16.0000
match_load_p1 2.0000
match_load_p2 0.0000
match_load_diff 2.0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0.0000
h2h_matches 0.0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0.5000
h2h_on_surface 0.0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0.5000
h2h_confidence_score 0.0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0.9573
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0.8981
tiebreak_wr_p1 0.4167
tiebreak_wr_p2 0.6071
serve_consistency_p1 10.6159
serve_consistency_p2 6.1947
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 46.5688
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0.1473
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0.0977
elite_surface_amplifier 0.0000
UTR
utr_diff -1.0100
utr_p1 0.8306
utr_p2 0.9494
utr_advantage -6.4889
utr_both_pro 1.0000
utr_available 1.0000
utr_expected_prob 0.0000
utr_closeness 0.0000
utr_data_quality 0.0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff 0.1032
surface_rank_synergy 0.0540
points_diff 0.0344
utr_diff 0.0324
utr_advantage 0.0308
rank_tier_advantage 0.0300
rank_advantage 0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0.0206
log_rank_ratio 0.0186
utr_available 0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID 8484
API ID 14506211
Gamdom ID -
Torneo US Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 128
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 8484,
    "api_id": 14506211,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Christopher O'Connell",
    "player2": "Alex de Minaur",
    "tournament": "US Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 128",
    "date": "2025-08-26T21:35:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 115,
      "utr_singles": 15.06,
      "utr_ranking": 97,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 54.54545454545454,
      "wr_surface_wins": 42,
      "wr_surface_total": 77,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 7,
      "utr_singles": 16.07,
      "utr_ranking": 7,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 70.40816326530613,
      "wr_surface_wins": 69,
      "wr_surface_total": 98,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.06,
      "ranking": 97,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 16.07,
      "ranking": 7,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "rank_advantage": -108,
    "rank_ratio": 0.06086956521739131,
    "log_rank_ratio": -2.7990219793079367,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -4,
    "points_diff": -3589,
    "best_rank_diff": -47,
    "surface_wr_diff": -16.637518180318764,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -15.286855482933916,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.7857142857142857,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_p1": 53.9290780141844,
    "surface_wr_p2": 70.56659619450316,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 54.32098765432099,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 69.6078431372549,
    "p1_surface_matches": 77,
    "p2_surface_matches": 98,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.09090909090909091,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.3494838918627039,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -4.938016373532463,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -8.435407404075391,
    "bp_saved_diff": 5.024205658764799,
    "bp_converted_diff": -1.9283564392065102,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.6745571499257785,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "momentum_p1": 57.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 30.000000000000004,
    "momentum_diff": 27.99999999999999,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 15.658999999999992,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 7,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 16,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "match_load_diff": 2,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9572649572649573,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8981324278438031,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4166666666666667,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6071428571428571,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.615854958965276,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.194744290003879,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 46.56877906784761,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.14729078014184394,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.09766596194503163,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
    "utr_diff": -1.0099999999999998,
    "utr_p1": 0.8305882352941177,
    "utr_p2": 0.9494117647058824,
    "utr_advantage": -6.488917442981046,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0
  },
  "feature_importance": {
    "rank_advantage": "0.0264",
    "rank_ratio": "0.0154",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
    "points_diff": "0.0344",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0145",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0121",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0143",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
    "momentum_p1": "0.013",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0115",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0127",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
    "match_load_p1": "0.012",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0124",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0123",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0152",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
    "utr_diff": "0.0324",
    "utr_p1": "0.012",
    "utr_p2": "0.0115",
    "utr_advantage": "0.0308",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
    "utr_available": "0.0172"
  }
}