Roberto Bautista Agut vs Jacob Fearnley
US Open | Hard | Round of 128
27 Ago 2025, 03:50
27 Ago 2025, 03:50
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Roberto … | Jacob … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Roberto Bautista Agut
Ranking
#91
UTR Rating
15,32 Pro
UTR Ranking
#47
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
4/14 = 28,6%
Jacob Fearnley
Ranking
#77
UTR Rating
15,30 Pro
UTR Ranking
#49
Forma L5
0% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
18/32 = 56,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -14,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,8462 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,1671 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -82,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 40,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -28,6523 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -23,2884 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,7424 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -3,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 35,4286 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 64,0809 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 45,2830 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 68,5714 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 49,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 66,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1020 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -8,1064 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -2,3326 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -7,1613 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,3661 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -7,7530 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2,3959 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,6000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 40,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 33,7510 | |
| current_streak_diff | 4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 6,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 7,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,5952 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,8867 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6111 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6842 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,4201 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,3878 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 4,7865 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1317 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1268 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8612 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8588 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,1306 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
8487
API ID
14506220
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
US Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 8487,
"api_id": 14506220,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Roberto Bautista Agut",
"player2": "Jacob Fearnley",
"tournament": "US Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2025-08-26T23:50:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"ranking": 91,
"utr_singles": 15.32,
"utr_ranking": 47,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 28.57142857142857,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 14,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 77,
"utr_singles": 15.3,
"utr_ranking": 49,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 56.25,
"wr_surface_wins": 18,
"wr_surface_total": 32,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 47,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 49,
"division": "Pro",
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}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 0.8461538461538461,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.1670540846631662,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"points_diff": -82,
"best_rank_diff": 40,
"surface_wr_diff": -28.65231092436975,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -23.288409703504037,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.7424242424242424,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -3,
"surface_wr_p1": 35.42857142857142,
"surface_wr_p2": 64.08088235294117,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 45.28301886792453,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 68.57142857142857,
"p1_surface_matches": 49,
"p2_surface_matches": 66,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.10204081632653061,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -8.106409663865541,
"first_serve_won_diff": -2.3325540966386455,
"second_serve_won_diff": -7.16133140756304,
"bp_saved_diff": 0.3660861344537949,
"bp_converted_diff": -7.752987394957977,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.3958665966386556,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.6,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 40.0,
"momentum_p2": 0.0,
"momentum_diff": 40.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 33.75100000000001,
"current_streak_diff": 4,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 6,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 7,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5952380952380952,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8866995073891626,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6111111111111112,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6842105263157895,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.420118371808929,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.387840423269405,
"surface_rank_synergy": 4.786485574955027,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.13171428571428573,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.1268088235294117,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.019999999999999574,
"utr_p1": 0.8611764705882353,
"utr_p2": 0.8588235294117648,
"utr_advantage": 0.13063357282821406,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}