Emiliana Arango vs Iga Swiatek
US Open | Hard | Round of 128
26 Aug 2025, 15:30
26 Aug 2025, 15:30
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Emiliana … | Iga … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Emiliana Arango
Ranking
#49
UTR Rating
11.98 Pro
UTR Ranking
#123
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
20% (10p)
WR Hard
26/56 = 46.4%
Iga Swiatek
Ranking
#2
UTR Rating
12.91 Pro
UTR Ranking
#3
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
90% (10p)
WR Hard
77/94 = 81.9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -47.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.0408 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -3.1987 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2.0000 | |
| points_diff | -7234.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -45.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -31.7195 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -33.9456 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.5957 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -3.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 49.1871 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 80.9066 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 46.6667 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 80.6122 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 56.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 94.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0.0714 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -10.8762 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -10.4895 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -7.5528 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -5.7739 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -2.6842 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1.6828 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.8000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -1.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 8.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 100.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -92.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -66.1700 | |
| current_streak_diff | -8.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 17.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 7.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -4.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.5556 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.9835 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.4000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.5556 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8.1586 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10.9686 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 101.4603 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.0389 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.2621 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.9300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.4682 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.5776 | |
| utr_advantage | -7.4729 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
8494
API ID
14506236
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
US Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
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"api_id": 14506236,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Emiliana Arango",
"player2": "Iga Swiatek",
"tournament": "US Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2025-08-26T15:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
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"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
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"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 11.98,
"utr_ranking": 123,
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"wr_surface": 46.42857142857143,
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"wr_surface_total": 56,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 20.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 12.91,
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"wr_surface": 81.91489361702128,
"wr_surface_wins": 77,
"wr_surface_total": 94,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 90.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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},
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"features": {
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"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
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"best_rank_diff": -45,
"surface_wr_diff": -31.71949663239986,
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"p1_surface_matches": 56,
"p2_surface_matches": 94,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.07142857142857142,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -10.876210304856436,
"first_serve_won_diff": -10.48947582417582,
"second_serve_won_diff": -7.55278461538461,
"bp_saved_diff": -5.773939560439558,
"bp_converted_diff": -2.6842252747252715,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.6828185040765689,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.8,
"last3_wr_diff": -1.0,
"momentum_p1": 8.0,
"momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": -91.99999999999999,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -66.17,
"current_streak_diff": -8,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 17,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 7,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"match_load_diff": -4,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
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"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5555555555555556,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9835294117647059,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5555555555555556,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.158630771415158,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.968560676326682,
"surface_rank_synergy": 101.46030118029681,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.038870967741935436,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.2620659340659339,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.9299999999999997,
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"utr_advantage": -7.472880674969865,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
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"feature_importance": {
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"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
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"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
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"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
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"utr_p2": "0.0115",
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"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
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}