Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Anastasija Sevastova
US Open | Hard | Round of 128
26 Aug 2025, 20:10
26 Aug 2025, 20:10
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Ekaterina … | Anastasija … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Ranking
#10
UTR Rating
12.80 Pro
UTR Ranking
#6
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
41/71 = 57.7%
Anastasija Sevastova
Ranking
#199
UTR Rating
11.91 Pro
UTR Ranking
#125
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
9/16 = 56.3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 189.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 19.9000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 2.9907 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 4.0000 | |
| points_diff | 3008.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 1.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 3.4516 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 1.7889 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 4.4375 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 58.4516 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 55.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 57.3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 55.0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 71.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 16.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.1549 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0.5333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.7667 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 8.9649 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 4.6745 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 3.0922 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 4.8307 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 4.0629 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2.8500 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 58.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 40.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 18.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 21.6400 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 16.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 5.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 5.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.8625 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.4800 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.4000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.3333 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4.5296 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 13.7942 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 10.3228 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.1045 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.2390 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 13.8065 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.8900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.5647 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.4600 | |
| utr_advantage | 7.2036 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
8503
API ID
14506243
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
US Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"match": {
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"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Ekaterina Alexandrova",
"player2": "Anastasija Sevastova",
"tournament": "US Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2025-08-26T20:10:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
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"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
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},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 12.8,
"utr_ranking": 6,
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"wr_surface": 57.74647887323944,
"wr_surface_wins": 41,
"wr_surface_total": 71,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 11.91,
"utr_ranking": 125,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 56.25,
"wr_surface_wins": 9,
"wr_surface_total": 16,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 6,
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"p2": {
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"features": {
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"rank_tier_advantage": 4,
"points_diff": 3008,
"best_rank_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": 3.451612903225808,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.7888888888888852,
"surface_matches_ratio": 4.4375,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
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"surface_wr_p2": 55.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 57.333333333333336,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.00000000000001,
"p1_surface_matches": 71,
"p2_surface_matches": 16,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.15492957746478872,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
"combined_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
"serve_quality_diff": 8.964903225806452,
"first_serve_won_diff": 4.674475806451618,
"second_serve_won_diff": 3.0922177419354853,
"bp_saved_diff": 4.830725806451625,
"bp_converted_diff": 4.0629435483871035,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.8499999999999996,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 57.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 40.0,
"momentum_diff": 17.999999999999993,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 21.639999999999993,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 16,
"match_load_p1": 5,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"match_load_diff": 5,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.862453531598513,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.48,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.529563846170579,
"serve_consistency_p2": 13.794177133300447,
"surface_rank_synergy": 10.322806815972836,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.10448387096774203,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.2390000000000001,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 13.806451612903231,
"utr_diff": 0.8900000000000006,
"utr_p1": 0.5647058823529413,
"utr_p2": 0.46,
"utr_advantage": 7.203561311210041,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
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"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
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"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
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}