Hailey Baptiste vs Katerina Siniakova
US Open | Hard | Round of 128
27 Ago 2025, 02:20
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Hailey … Katerina … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Hailey Baptiste
Ranking #70
UTR Rating 12,03 Pro
UTR Ranking #84
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 12/26 = 46,2%
Katerina Siniakova
Ranking #45
UTR Rating 12,46 Pro
UTR Ranking #26
Forma L5 100% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 21/33 = 63,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -25,0000
rank_ratio 0,6429
log_rank_ratio -0,4418
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -236,0000
best_rank_diff -20,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -9,5417
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -2,8467
surface_matches_ratio 0,8696
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 50,8371
surface_wr_p2 60,3788
surface_wr_p1_stable 54,6875
surface_wr_p2_stable 57,5342
p1_surface_matches 60,0000
p2_surface_matches 69,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1000
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 7,4971
first_serve_won_diff 5,7880
second_serve_won_diff -1,1690
bp_saved_diff 4,7788
bp_converted_diff -3,0916
aces_per_match_diff 2,4769
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,6000
last3_wr_diff -0,6667
momentum_p1 32,0000
momentum_p2 100,0000
momentum_diff -68,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -43,8500
current_streak_diff -6,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 7,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 24,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,6339
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,6063
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4444
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6667
serve_consistency_p1 3,8095
serve_consistency_p2 3,9113
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 4,2158
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0334
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0788
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,4300
utr_p1 0,4741
utr_p2 0,5247
utr_advantage -3,5116
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage 0,1087
utr_diff 0,0839
surface_wr_diff 0,0685
surface_rank_synergy 0,0307
rank_advantage 0,0208
rank_ratio 0,0191
surface_wr_p1 0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0184
surface_wr_p2 0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID 8505
API ID 14506256
Gamdom ID -
Torneo US Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 128
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 8505,
    "api_id": 14506256,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Hailey Baptiste",
    "player2": "Katerina Siniakova",
    "tournament": "US Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 128",
    "date": "2025-08-26T22:20:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 70,
      "utr_singles": 12.03,
      "utr_ranking": 84,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 46.15384615384615,
      "wr_surface_wins": 12,
      "wr_surface_total": 26,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 45,
      "utr_singles": 12.46,
      "utr_ranking": 26,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 63.63636363636363,
      "wr_surface_wins": 21,
      "wr_surface_total": 33,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.03,
      "ranking": 84,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.46,
      "ranking": 26,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "rank_advantage": -25,
    "rank_ratio": 0.6428571428571429,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.4418327522790392,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "points_diff": -236,
    "best_rank_diff": -20,
    "surface_wr_diff": -9.541683806389685,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -2.846746575342465,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.8695652173913043,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_p1": 50.83710407239819,
    "surface_wr_p2": 60.378787878787875,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 54.6875,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 57.534246575342465,
    "p1_surface_matches": 60,
    "p2_surface_matches": 69,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.1,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 7.497121006444523,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 5.788030303030283,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -1.168974358974367,
    "bp_saved_diff": 4.7787995337995355,
    "bp_converted_diff": -3.091643356643374,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.476899081310846,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.6,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666667,
    "momentum_p1": 32.0,
    "momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
    "momentum_diff": -67.99999999999999,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -43.849999999999994,
    "current_streak_diff": -6,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 7,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 24,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "match_load_diff": 2,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6339285714285714,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.60625,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4444444444444444,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 3.809499159531159,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 3.9112583117172304,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 4.215828417553493,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.03337104072398189,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.07878787878787874,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
    "utr_diff": -0.4300000000000015,
    "utr_p1": 0.4741176470588235,
    "utr_p2": 0.5247058823529412,
    "utr_advantage": -3.5116374030216537,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0
  },
  "feature_importance": {
    "rank_advantage": "0.0208",
    "rank_ratio": "0.0191",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
    "points_diff": "0.0137",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0097",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0123",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0116",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p1": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0108",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0122",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
    "match_load_p1": "0.0117",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0111",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0106",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0117",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
    "utr_diff": "0.0839",
    "utr_p1": "0.0118",
    "utr_p2": "0.0114",
    "utr_advantage": "0.1087",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
    "utr_available": "0.0118"
  }
}