Frances Tiafoe vs Martin Damm Jr
US Open | Hard | Round of 64
27 Ago 2025, 23:15
27 Ago 2025, 23:15
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Frances … | Martin … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Frances Tiafoe
Ranking
#34
UTR Rating
15,18 Pro
UTR Ranking
#62
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
14/26 = 53,8%
Martin Damm Jr
Ranking
#177
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (5p)
WR Hard
15/23 = 65,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 143,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 5,2059 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,6498 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 1167,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 163,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -4,8816 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,9809 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,2885 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 55,2533 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 60,1349 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 56,3380 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 55,3571 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 67,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 52,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1343 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -10,7857 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -4,2149 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -4,5672 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -2,3006 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 3,4174 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -3,6540 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 68,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 98,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -30,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -12,9800 | |
| current_streak_diff | -3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -3,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,2993 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,5625 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5385 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5135 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 12,4929 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 3,5337 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -8,0537 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0905 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,2443 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -9,7633 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8447 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8447 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
8520
API ID
14494889
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
US Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 8520,
"api_id": 14494889,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Frances Tiafoe",
"player2": "Martin Damm Jr",
"tournament": "US Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2025-08-27T19:15:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 15.18,
"utr_ranking": 62,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 53.84615384615385,
"wr_surface_wins": 14,
"wr_surface_total": 26,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 177,
"utr_singles": null,
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"utr_division": null,
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"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 65.21739130434783,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 23,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 5
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 62,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
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},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 5.205882352941177,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.6497892079576677,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"points_diff": 1167,
"best_rank_diff": 163,
"surface_wr_diff": -4.881649231669343,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.9808853118712264,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.2884615384615385,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 55.25328330206379,
"surface_wr_p2": 60.134932533733135,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 56.33802816901409,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.35714285714286,
"p1_surface_matches": 67,
"p2_surface_matches": 52,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.13432835820895522,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -10.785696335697082,
"first_serve_won_diff": -4.214945726011308,
"second_serve_won_diff": -4.567246442444819,
"bp_saved_diff": -2.300626619148204,
"bp_converted_diff": 3.4173756367594947,
"aces_per_match_diff": -3.6540247699789887,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
"momentum_p1": 68.0,
"momentum_p2": 97.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": -29.999999999999986,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -12.97999999999999,
"current_streak_diff": -3,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"match_load_diff": -3,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.2992518703241895,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.5625,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5384615384615384,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5135135135135135,
"serve_consistency_p1": 12.492897740763071,
"serve_consistency_p2": 3.533732103783083,
"surface_rank_synergy": -8.053692219442922,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.09046716697936208,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.24434932533733134,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -9.763298463338685,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"utr_p1": 0.8447058823529412,
"utr_p2": 0.8447058823529412,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}