Jelena Ostapenko vs Taylor Townsend
US Open | Hard | Round of 64
28 Ago 2025, 01:00
28 Ago 2025, 01:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Jelena … | Taylor … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jelena Ostapenko
Ranking
#24
UTR Rating
12,10 Pro
UTR Ranking
#79
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
8/21 = 38,1%
Taylor Townsend
Ranking
#116
UTR Rating
12,25 Pro
UTR Ranking
#48
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
15/24 = 62,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 92,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 4,8333 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,5755 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 1089,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 41,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -16,5856 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -8,3333 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,8814 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 46,0215 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 62,6071 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 53,5714 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 61,9048 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 52,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 59,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0769 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -4,4410 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,5667 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -7,0355 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -12,9731 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 6,1056 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,3068 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 48,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 68,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -20,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -24,9510 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7981 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,8675 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5714 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5556 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 12,0508 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,6101 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -26,1313 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1318 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,2181 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -33,1713 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,1500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4824 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,2320 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
8533
API ID
14495015
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
US Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 8533,
"api_id": 14495015,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Jelena Ostapenko",
"player2": "Taylor Townsend",
"tournament": "US Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2025-08-27T21:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 24,
"utr_singles": 12.1,
"utr_ranking": 79,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 38.095238095238095,
"wr_surface_wins": 8,
"wr_surface_total": 21,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 116,
"utr_singles": 12.25,
"utr_ranking": 48,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 62.5,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 24,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.1,
"ranking": 79,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.25,
"ranking": 48,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 4.833333333333333,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.575536360758419,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"points_diff": 1089,
"best_rank_diff": 41,
"surface_wr_diff": -16.585637480798773,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -8.333333333333336,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.8813559322033898,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_p1": 46.02150537634408,
"surface_wr_p2": 62.607142857142854,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 53.57142857142857,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 61.904761904761905,
"p1_surface_matches": 52,
"p2_surface_matches": 59,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.07692307692307693,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -4.440966205837171,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.5667465437788195,
"second_serve_won_diff": -7.035483870967752,
"bp_saved_diff": -12.973124423963135,
"bp_converted_diff": 6.105594470046086,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.306847158218127,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 48.00000000000001,
"momentum_p2": 68.0,
"momentum_diff": -19.999999999999993,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -24.951000000000022,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7981220657276995,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8675213675213675,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5714285714285714,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5555555555555556,
"serve_consistency_p1": 12.050751786188455,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.610142000733019,
"surface_rank_synergy": -26.13127491735613,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.13178494623655929,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.21807142857142858,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -33.17127496159755,
"utr_diff": -0.15000000000000036,
"utr_p1": 0.48235294117647054,
"utr_p2": 0.5,
"utr_advantage": -1.2320328542094483,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}