Elise Mertens vs Lulu Sun
US Open | Hard | Round of 64
27 Aug 2025, 22:10
27 Aug 2025, 22:10
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Elise … | Lulu … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Elise Mertens
Ranking
#20
UTR Rating
12.43 Pro
UTR Ranking
#27
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
34/62 = 54.8%
Lulu Sun
Ranking
#90
UTR Rating
12.28 Pro
UTR Ranking
#42
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
31/56 = 55.4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 70.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 4.5000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1.5041 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2.0000 | |
| points_diff | 1144.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 27.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 2.3023 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -0.4545 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1.1071 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 54.9843 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 52.6820 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 54.5455 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 55.0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 62.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 56.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.0968 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -3.8466 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -1.9006 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1.3475 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -6.2682 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 5.4103 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1.2460 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 68.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 68.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -2.9800 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 3.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.7063 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.6496 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.3077 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.6842 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9.9054 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9.0181 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 3.4629 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.0202 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.0968 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 4.6047 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.1500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.5212 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.5035 | |
| utr_advantage | 1.2141 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
8535
API ID
14495026
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
US Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"match": {
"id": 8535,
"api_id": 14495026,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Elise Mertens",
"player2": "Lulu Sun",
"tournament": "US Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2025-08-27T22:10:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
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"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
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"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 12.43,
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"wr_surface_total": 62,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 12.28,
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"wr_surface_wins": 31,
"wr_surface_total": 56,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
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}
},
"utr": {
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"p2": {
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"features": {
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"best_rank_diff": 27,
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"p1_surface_matches": 62,
"p2_surface_matches": 56,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0967741935483871,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -3.8466140717519934,
"first_serve_won_diff": -1.9005607802159403,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.3474677812608746,
"bp_saved_diff": -6.268206199930347,
"bp_converted_diff": 5.410289097875307,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.24604667363288,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 68.0,
"momentum_p2": 68.0,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -2.9799999999999898,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
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"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7063492063492064,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6496350364963503,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3076923076923077,
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"serve_consistency_p1": 9.905358269592254,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.018120287166216,
"surface_rank_synergy": 3.462888050397476,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.02015673981191246,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.09681992337164746,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 4.604667363288044,
"utr_diff": 0.15000000000000036,
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"utr_advantage": 1.2140833670578741,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
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"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
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"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
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"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
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}