Elsa Jacquemot vs Leylah Fernandez
US Open | Hard | Round of 64
27 Aug 2025, 23:45
27 Aug 2025, 23:45
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Elsa … | Leylah … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Elsa Jacquemot
Ranking
#59
UTR Rating
12.01 Pro
UTR Ranking
#103
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
25/45 = 55.6%
Leylah Fernandez
Ranking
#22
UTR Rating
12.56 Pro
UTR Ranking
#17
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
44/74 = 59.5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -37.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.3729 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0.9865 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1.0000 | |
| points_diff | -777.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -43.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -3.4566 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -3.8723 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.6081 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -2.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 57.6087 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 61.0653 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 55.1020 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 58.9744 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 45.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 74.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.1111 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 3.5506 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0.6057 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -3.9253 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0.9863 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 3.2984 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2.2127 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 70.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 60.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 10.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 14.2150 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 3.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 6.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 3.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.8824 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.8798 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.4000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.7143 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7.1559 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 13.9054 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 3.4099 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.1131 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.0737 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.5500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.4718 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.5365 | |
| utr_advantage | -4.4770 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
8539
API ID
14495018
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
US Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"match": {
"id": 8539,
"api_id": 14495018,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Elsa Jacquemot",
"player2": "Leylah Fernandez",
"tournament": "US Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2025-08-27T23:45:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 12.01,
"utr_ranking": 103,
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"wr_surface": 55.55555555555556,
"wr_surface_wins": 25,
"wr_surface_total": 45,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 12.56,
"utr_ranking": 17,
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"wr_surface": 59.45945945945946,
"wr_surface_wins": 44,
"wr_surface_total": 74,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
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}
},
"utr": {
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"p2": {
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"features": {
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"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"points_diff": -777,
"best_rank_diff": -43,
"surface_wr_diff": -3.456570664405227,
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"surface_matches_ratio": 0.6081081081081081,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2,
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"p1_surface_matches": 45,
"p2_surface_matches": 74,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.1111111111111111,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 3.5506405978965105,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.6057184750733171,
"second_serve_won_diff": -3.9252785923753635,
"bp_saved_diff": 0.9862756598240452,
"bp_converted_diff": 3.298445747800578,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.2126824690362312,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 70.0,
"momentum_p2": 60.00000000000001,
"momentum_diff": 9.999999999999993,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 14.215000000000003,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
"match_load_p1": 6,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"match_load_diff": 3,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8823529411764706,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8798283261802575,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7142857142857143,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.155943702682941,
"serve_consistency_p2": 13.905423372773855,
"surface_rank_synergy": 3.409889644908867,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.11308695652173917,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.07365266316579133,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.5500000000000007,
"utr_p1": 0.4717647058823529,
"utr_p2": 0.5364705882352941,
"utr_advantage": -4.477004477004483,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
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"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
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"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
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}
}