Lorenzo Musetti vs David Goffin
US Open | Hard | Round of 64
28 Ago 2025, 19:00
28 Ago 2025, 19:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Lorenzo … | David … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Lorenzo Musetti
Ranking
#5
UTR Rating
15,77 Pro
UTR Ranking
#9
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
22/37 = 59,5%
David Goffin
Ranking
#117
UTR Rating
14,85 Pro
UTR Ranking
#105
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
20% (10p)
WR Hard
12/31 = 38,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 112,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 23,4000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 3,1527 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 4,0000 | |
| points_diff | 3580,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 2,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 10,1131 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,1434 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,8415 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 56,6216 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 46,5085 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 54,7945 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 54,6512 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 69,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 82,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1014 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 1,6144 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,3864 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 4,9576 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 5,6790 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,6486 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,0331 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 48,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 8,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 6,2850 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,0466 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,8920 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5152 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4375 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,7996 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,5035 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 31,8839 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0458 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0771 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 40,4523 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,9200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,9141 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8059 | |
| utr_advantage | 6,0091 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
8543
API ID
14494890
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
US Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 8543,
"api_id": 14494890,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Lorenzo Musetti",
"player2": "David Goffin",
"tournament": "US Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2025-08-28T15:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 5,
"utr_singles": 15.77,
"utr_ranking": 9,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 59.45945945945946,
"wr_surface_wins": 22,
"wr_surface_total": 37,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 117,
"utr_singles": 14.85,
"utr_ranking": 105,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 38.70967741935484,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 31,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 20.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.77,
"ranking": 9,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.85,
"ranking": 105,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": 112,
"rank_ratio": 23.4,
"log_rank_ratio": 3.152736022363656,
"rank_tier_advantage": 4,
"points_diff": 3580,
"best_rank_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_diff": 10.113082722190882,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.14335775724753574,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.8414634146341463,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 56.62162162162162,
"surface_wr_p2": 46.50853889943074,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 54.794520547945204,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 54.65116279069767,
"p1_surface_matches": 69,
"p2_surface_matches": 82,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.10144927536231885,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 1.6143871737012176,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.386447349864099,
"second_serve_won_diff": 4.957568048361459,
"bp_saved_diff": 5.679019661264675,
"bp_converted_diff": 0.648602139853331,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.03305345786963443,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.2,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 48.00000000000001,
"momentum_p2": 40.0,
"momentum_diff": 8.000000000000007,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 6.285000000000011,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0466321243523315,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.892,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5151515151515151,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4375,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.799564602558233,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.503511987351198,
"surface_rank_synergy": 31.883880195394692,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.04578378378378378,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.07708538899430739,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 40.45233088876353,
"utr_diff": 0.9199999999999999,
"utr_p1": 0.9141176470588235,
"utr_p2": 0.8058823529411764,
"utr_advantage": 6.0091443500979755,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}