Hailey Baptiste vs Naomi Osaka
US Open | Hard | Round of 64
28 Aug 2025, 17:30
28 Aug 2025, 17:30
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Hailey … | Naomi … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Hailey Baptiste
Ranking
#61
UTR Rating
12.21 Pro
UTR Ranking
#53
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
33/60 = 55.0%
Naomi Osaka
Ranking
#16
UTR Rating
12.60 Pro
UTR Ranking
#12
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
37/55 = 67.3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -45.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.2623 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1.3383 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2.0000 | |
| points_diff | -1464.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -46.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -18.5984 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -11.4142 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1.0909 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 50.8371 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 69.4355 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 54.6875 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 66.1017 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 60.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 55.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.1000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -7.6611 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -5.1638 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1.0173 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0.3520 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -5.7172 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2.3870 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 60.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 70.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -10.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -4.8000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -2.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 2.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.6339 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1.0576 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.4444 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.5263 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4.0279 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6.6889 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 24.8899 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.0534 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.1494 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.3900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.4953 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.5412 | |
| utr_advantage | -3.1439 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
8566
API ID
14495030
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
US Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"match": {
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"api_id": 14495030,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Hailey Baptiste",
"player2": "Naomi Osaka",
"tournament": "US Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2025-08-28T17:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
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"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
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},
"tnnslive": {
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},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 12.21,
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"wr_surface": 55.00000000000001,
"wr_surface_wins": 33,
"wr_surface_total": 60,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 12.6,
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"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
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},
"utr": {
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"p2": {
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"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
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"best_rank_diff": -46,
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"surface_wr_p1_stable": 54.6875,
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"p1_surface_matches": 60,
"p2_surface_matches": 55,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.1,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -7.661103944679617,
"first_serve_won_diff": -5.163750000000022,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.0173076923077033,
"bp_saved_diff": 0.3520192307692369,
"bp_converted_diff": -5.717211538461548,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.3870183184936504,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 60.00000000000001,
"momentum_p2": 70.0,
"momentum_diff": -9.999999999999993,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -4.800000000000011,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"h2h_wins_diff": -2,
"h2h_matches": 2,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6339285714285714,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0576131687242798,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4444444444444444,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5263157894736842,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.027887684134255,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.6888967256295855,
"surface_rank_synergy": 24.889935348462352,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.05337104072398191,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.14935483870967736,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.3899999999999988,
"utr_p1": 0.49529411764705894,
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"utr_advantage": -3.1438935912938235,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
"h2h_wins_p2": 2
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
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"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
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"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
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"utr_p2": "0.0115",
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}