Hailey Baptiste vs Naomi Osaka
US Open | Hard | Round of 64
28 Ago 2025, 21:30
28 Ago 2025, 21:30
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Hailey … | Naomi … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Hailey Baptiste
Ranking
#70
UTR Rating
12,03 Pro
UTR Ranking
#84
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
12/26 = 46,2%
Naomi Osaka
Ranking
#17
UTR Rating
12,60 Pro
UTR Ranking
#15
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
23/31 = 74,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -53,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,2429 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,4153 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2,0000 | |
| points_diff | -1387,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -46,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -18,5984 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -11,4142 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,0909 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 50,8371 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 69,4355 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 54,6875 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 66,1017 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 60,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 55,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -7,6611 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -5,1638 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1,0173 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,3520 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -5,7172 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2,3870 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -10,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -4,6800 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -2,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 2,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,6339 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,0576 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4444 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5263 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,0279 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,6889 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 26,3220 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0614 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1414 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,5700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4741 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5412 | |
| utr_advantage | -4,6285 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
8566
API ID
14495030
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
US Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 8566,
"api_id": 14495030,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Hailey Baptiste",
"player2": "Naomi Osaka",
"tournament": "US Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2025-08-28T17:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 12.03,
"utr_ranking": 84,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 46.15384615384615,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 26,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 12.6,
"utr_ranking": 15,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 74.19354838709677,
"wr_surface_wins": 23,
"wr_surface_total": 31,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 84,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"features": {
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"log_rank_ratio": -1.415281897993143,
"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"points_diff": -1387,
"best_rank_diff": -46,
"surface_wr_diff": -18.598379798569553,
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"surface_matches_ratio": 1.0909090909090908,
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"surface_wr_p1": 50.83710407239819,
"surface_wr_p2": 69.43548387096774,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 54.6875,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 66.10169491525424,
"p1_surface_matches": 60,
"p2_surface_matches": 55,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.1,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -7.661103944679617,
"first_serve_won_diff": -5.163750000000022,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.0173076923077033,
"bp_saved_diff": 0.3520192307692369,
"bp_converted_diff": -5.717211538461548,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.3870183184936504,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 60.00000000000001,
"momentum_p2": 70.0,
"momentum_diff": -9.999999999999993,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -4.680000000000007,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"h2h_wins_diff": -2,
"h2h_matches": 2,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6339285714285714,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0576131687242798,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4444444444444444,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5263157894736842,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.027887684134255,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.6888967256295855,
"surface_rank_synergy": 26.321950260916847,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.06137104072398192,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.14135483870967736,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.5700000000000003,
"utr_p1": 0.4741176470588235,
"utr_p2": 0.5411764705882353,
"utr_advantage": -4.628501827040197,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
"h2h_wins_p2": 2
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
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}