Hailey Baptiste vs Naomi Osaka
US Open | Hard | Round of 64
28 Aug 2025, 17:30
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Hailey … Naomi … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Hailey Baptiste
Ranking #61
UTR Rating 12.21 Pro
UTR Ranking #53
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 33/60 = 55.0%
Naomi Osaka
Ranking #16
UTR Rating 12.60 Pro
UTR Ranking #12
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 37/55 = 67.3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -45.0000
rank_ratio 0.2623
log_rank_ratio -1.3383
rank_tier_advantage -2.0000
points_diff -1464.0000
best_rank_diff -46.0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -18.5984
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -11.4142
surface_matches_ratio 1.0909
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0.0000
surface_wr_p1 50.8371
surface_wr_p2 69.4355
surface_wr_p1_stable 54.6875
surface_wr_p2_stable 66.1017
p1_surface_matches 60.0000
p2_surface_matches 55.0000
p1_surface_dominance 0.1000
Confianza
p1_confidence 1.0000
p2_confidence 1.0000
combined_confidence 1.0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -7.6611
first_serve_won_diff -5.1638
second_serve_won_diff -1.0173
bp_saved_diff 0.3520
bp_converted_diff -5.7172
aces_per_match_diff -2.3870
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0.4000
last3_wr_diff 0.0000
momentum_p1 60.0000
momentum_p2 70.0000
momentum_diff -10.0000
weighted_momentum_diff -4.8000
current_streak_diff 0.0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1.0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1.0000
match_load_p1 3.0000
match_load_p2 1.0000
match_load_diff 2.0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff -2.0000
h2h_matches 2.0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0.0000
h2h_on_surface 0.0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0.0000
h2h_confidence_score 0.0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0.6339
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1.0576
tiebreak_wr_p1 0.4444
tiebreak_wr_p2 0.5263
serve_consistency_p1 4.0279
serve_consistency_p2 6.6889
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 24.8899
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0.0534
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0.1494
elite_surface_amplifier 0.0000
UTR
utr_diff -0.3900
utr_p1 0.4953
utr_p2 0.5412
utr_advantage -3.1439
utr_both_pro 1.0000
utr_available 1.0000
utr_expected_prob 0.0000
utr_closeness 0.0000
utr_data_quality 0.0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff 0.1032
surface_rank_synergy 0.0540
points_diff 0.0344
utr_diff 0.0324
utr_advantage 0.0308
rank_tier_advantage 0.0300
rank_advantage 0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0.0206
log_rank_ratio 0.0186
utr_available 0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID 8566
API ID 14495030
Gamdom ID -
Torneo US Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 64
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 8566,
    "api_id": 14495030,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Hailey Baptiste",
    "player2": "Naomi Osaka",
    "tournament": "US Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 64",
    "date": "2025-08-28T17:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 61,
      "utr_singles": 12.21,
      "utr_ranking": 53,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 55.00000000000001,
      "wr_surface_wins": 33,
      "wr_surface_total": 60,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 16,
      "utr_singles": 12.6,
      "utr_ranking": 12,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 67.27272727272727,
      "wr_surface_wins": 37,
      "wr_surface_total": 55,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.21,
      "ranking": 53,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.6,
      "ranking": 12,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "rank_advantage": -45,
    "rank_ratio": 0.26229508196721313,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.33828514193353,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -2,
    "points_diff": -1464,
    "best_rank_diff": -46,
    "surface_wr_diff": -18.598379798569553,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -11.414194915254242,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.0909090909090908,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 50.83710407239819,
    "surface_wr_p2": 69.43548387096774,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 54.6875,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 66.10169491525424,
    "p1_surface_matches": 60,
    "p2_surface_matches": 55,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.1,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "serve_quality_diff": -7.661103944679617,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -5.163750000000022,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -1.0173076923077033,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0.3520192307692369,
    "bp_converted_diff": -5.717211538461548,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -2.3870183184936504,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "momentum_p1": 60.00000000000001,
    "momentum_p2": 70.0,
    "momentum_diff": -9.999999999999993,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -4.800000000000011,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "match_load_diff": 2,
    "h2h_wins_diff": -2,
    "h2h_matches": 2,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6339285714285714,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0576131687242798,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4444444444444444,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5263157894736842,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 4.027887684134255,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.6888967256295855,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 24.889935348462352,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.05337104072398191,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.14935483870967736,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
    "utr_diff": -0.3899999999999988,
    "utr_p1": 0.49529411764705894,
    "utr_p2": 0.5411764705882353,
    "utr_advantage": -3.1438935912938235,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 2
  },
  "feature_importance": {
    "rank_advantage": "0.0264",
    "rank_ratio": "0.0154",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
    "points_diff": "0.0344",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0145",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0121",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0143",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
    "momentum_p1": "0.013",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0115",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0127",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
    "match_load_p1": "0.012",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0124",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0123",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0152",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
    "utr_diff": "0.0324",
    "utr_p1": "0.012",
    "utr_p2": "0.0115",
    "utr_advantage": "0.0308",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
    "utr_available": "0.0172"
  }
}