Belinda Bencic vs Jelena Ostapenko
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
13 Jan 2025, 04:40
13 Jan 2025, 04:40
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Belinda … | Jelena … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Belinda Bencic
Ranking
#11
UTR Rating
12.47 Pro
UTR Ranking
#24
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
78% (9p)
WR Hard
35/47 = 74.5%
Jelena Ostapenko
Ranking
#23
UTR Rating
12.10 Pro
UTR Ranking
#78
Forma L5
33% (3p)
Forma L10
33% (3p)
WR Hard
28/52 = 53.8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 12.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2.0909 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0.7376 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1.0000 | |
| points_diff | 1319.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 1.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 30.1980 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 18.9776 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.9038 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 76.2195 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 46.0215 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 72.5490 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 53.5714 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 47.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 52.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.4894 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -1.1146 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 1.6710 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 4.7155 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 12.9048 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0.3735 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1.6824 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.2667 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 58.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 33.3333 | |
| momentum_diff | 24.6667 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 21.5857 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 5.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 4.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.7130 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.7981 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.4545 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.5714 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7.7079 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10.0510 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 22.2740 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.2502 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.0278 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 30.1980 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.3700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.5259 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.4824 | |
| utr_advantage | 3.0118 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1064
utr_advantage
0.0605
surface_rank_synergy
0.0462
points_diff
0.0341
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0245
utr_diff
0.0228
rank_advantage
0.0226
rank_ratio
0.0203
utr_both_pro
0.0201
utr_available
0.0180
Info del Partido
Match ID
858
API ID
13314286
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 858,
"api_id": 13314286,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Belinda Bencic",
"player2": "Jelena Ostapenko",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2025-01-13T04:40:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 12.47,
"utr_ranking": 24,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 74.46808510638297,
"wr_surface_wins": 35,
"wr_surface_total": 47,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 77.77777777777779,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 9
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 23,
"utr_singles": 12.1,
"utr_ranking": 78,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 53.84615384615385,
"wr_surface_wins": 28,
"wr_surface_total": 52,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 33.33333333333333,
"form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 24,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 78,
"division": "Pro",
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}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 2.090909090909091,
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"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"points_diff": 1319,
"best_rank_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": 30.19800681877787,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 18.977591036414566,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.9038461538461539,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 76.21951219512195,
"surface_wr_p2": 46.02150537634408,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 72.54901960784314,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 53.57142857142857,
"p1_surface_matches": 47,
"p2_surface_matches": 52,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.48936170212765956,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -1.1146493574613032,
"first_serve_won_diff": 1.6709677419354847,
"second_serve_won_diff": 4.715483870967759,
"bp_saved_diff": 12.904838709677428,
"bp_converted_diff": 0.3735483870967684,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.6823891948596899,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.26666666666666666,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 57.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 33.33333333333333,
"momentum_diff": 24.666666666666664,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 21.585666666666675,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 5,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 4,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7130434782608696,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7981220657276995,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.45454545454545453,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5714285714285714,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.707902918573442,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.05095225348203,
"surface_rank_synergy": 22.27401791418662,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.2501951219512195,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.027784946236559194,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 30.19800681877787,
"utr_diff": 0.370000000000001,
"utr_p1": 0.5258823529411766,
"utr_p2": 0.48235294117647054,
"utr_advantage": 3.01180301180302,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0226",
"rank_ratio": "0.0203",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0168",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0153",
"points_diff": "0.0341",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0142",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1064",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0245",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0134",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0158",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0114",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0135",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0125",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0132",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0149",
"p1_confidence": "0.0114",
"p2_confidence": "0.0127",
"combined_confidence": "0.0139",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0129",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0132",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0122",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0118",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0119",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0121",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0097",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0135",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0128",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0124",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0123",
"match_load_p1": "0.0141",
"match_load_p2": "0.0137",
"match_load_diff": "0.0122",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0127",
"h2h_matches": "0.0092",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0141",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0124",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0143",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0128",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0128",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0128",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0119",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0115",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0462",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0143",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0135",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0155",
"utr_diff": "0.0228",
"utr_p1": "0.0136",
"utr_p2": "0.0123",
"utr_advantage": "0.0605",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0201",
"utr_available": "0.018"
}
}