Jessica Pegula vs Victoria Azarenka
US Open | Hard | Round of 32
29 Aug 2025, 17:55
29 Aug 2025, 17:55
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Jessica … | Victoria … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jessica Pegula
Ranking
#6
UTR Rating
12.78 Pro
UTR Ranking
#7
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
62/87 = 71.3%
Victoria Azarenka
Ranking
#132
UTR Rating
12.28 Pro
UTR Ranking
#43
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
26/43 = 60.5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 126.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 22.0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 3.0910 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 4.0000 | |
| points_diff | 5028.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -2.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 18.3690 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 10.7552 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 2.0233 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 2.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 70.6767 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 52.3077 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 70.3297 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 59.5745 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 87.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 43.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.4253 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 2.3991 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 3.5442 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 3.2732 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 5.5558 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 2.3053 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0.1775 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 78.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 72.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 6.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 2.9400 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.9061 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.9130 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.4348 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.6154 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 14.5371 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 11.1949 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 56.7794 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.0808 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.1491 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 73.4760 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.5000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.5624 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.5035 | |
| utr_advantage | 3.9904 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
8584
API ID
14494988
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
US Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"match": {
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"api_id": 14494988,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Jessica Pegula",
"player2": "Victoria Azarenka",
"tournament": "US Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-08-29T17:55:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
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"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
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},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"wr_surface_total": 87,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 12.28,
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"wr_surface_wins": 26,
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"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
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"utr": {
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"best_rank_diff": -2,
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"surface_matches_ratio": 2.0232558139534884,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2,
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"surface_wr_p1_stable": 70.32967032967034,
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"p1_surface_matches": 87,
"p2_surface_matches": 43,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.42528735632183906,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 2.399107576633888,
"first_serve_won_diff": 3.54421052631578,
"second_serve_won_diff": 3.2731578947368476,
"bp_saved_diff": 5.555789473684207,
"bp_converted_diff": 2.30526315789475,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.17747252747252773,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 77.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 72.0,
"momentum_diff": 5.999999999999986,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 2.9399999999999977,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
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"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
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"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.906060606060606,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9130434782608695,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.43478260869565216,
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"serve_consistency_p1": 14.53711886435658,
"serve_consistency_p2": 11.194926972204932,
"surface_rank_synergy": 56.77935703797574,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.08076691729323293,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.1490769230769231,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 73.47599768652395,
"utr_diff": 0.5,
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"utr_advantage": 3.9904229848363926,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
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"feature_importance": {
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"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
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"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
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"utr_p2": "0.0115",
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"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
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}