Aryna Sabalenka vs Leylah Fernandez
US Open | Hard | Round of 32
29 Aug 2025, 23:05
29 Aug 2025, 23:05
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Aryna … | Leylah … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Aryna Sabalenka
Ranking
#1
UTR Rating
12.97 Pro
UTR Ranking
#2
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
71/86 = 82.6%
Leylah Fernandez
Ranking
#22
UTR Rating
12.56 Pro
UTR Ranking
#17
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
44/74 = 59.5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 21.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 22.0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 3.0910 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2.0000 | |
| points_diff | 9049.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 12.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 22.7984 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 22.1368 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1.1622 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 5.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 83.8636 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 61.0653 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 81.1111 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 58.9744 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 86.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 74.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.6512 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 5.9059 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 3.8681 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2.0711 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 8.9137 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 3.7037 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1.6752 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 80.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 78.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 2.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -0.7400 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1.1751 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.8798 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.7222 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.7143 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7.2798 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 11.8285 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 70.4707 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.3176 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.1317 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 45.5967 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.4100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.5847 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.5365 | |
| utr_advantage | 3.2119 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
8588
API ID
14494993
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
US Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"match": {
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"api_id": 14494993,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Aryna Sabalenka",
"player2": "Leylah Fernandez",
"tournament": "US Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-08-29T23:05:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
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"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
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"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 12.97,
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"wr_surface": 82.55813953488372,
"wr_surface_wins": 71,
"wr_surface_total": 86,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 12.56,
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"wr_surface": 59.45945945945946,
"wr_surface_wins": 44,
"wr_surface_total": 74,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
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},
"utr": {
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"p2": {
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"features": {
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"points_diff": 9049,
"best_rank_diff": 12,
"surface_wr_diff": 22.79837004705722,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 22.136752136752136,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.162162162162162,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 5,
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"surface_wr_p2": 61.06526631657914,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 81.11111111111111,
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"p1_surface_matches": 86,
"p2_surface_matches": 74,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.6511627906976745,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 5.905860624246969,
"first_serve_won_diff": 3.8681427174975624,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.071085043988276,
"bp_saved_diff": 8.913699902248283,
"bp_converted_diff": 3.703748778103609,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.6752318761508551,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 80.0,
"momentum_p2": 77.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": 2.000000000000014,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -0.7400000000000091,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.1751412429378532,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8798283261802575,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7222222222222222,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7142857142857143,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.279782028231703,
"serve_consistency_p2": 11.82847222639585,
"surface_rank_synergy": 70.47072968282649,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.3176363636363636,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.13165266316579138,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 45.59674009411444,
"utr_diff": 0.41000000000000014,
"utr_p1": 0.5847058823529413,
"utr_p2": 0.5364705882352941,
"utr_advantage": 3.2119075597336475,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
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"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
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"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
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"utr_p2": "0.0115",
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"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
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}