Lorenzo Musetti vs Flavio Cobolli
US Open | Hard | Round of 32
30 Aug 2025, 15:00
30 Aug 2025, 15:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Lorenzo … | Flavio … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Lorenzo Musetti
Ranking
#8
UTR Rating
16.04 Pro
UTR Ranking
#8
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
38/69 = 55.1%
Flavio Cobolli
Ranking
#22
UTR Rating
15.71 Pro
UTR Ranking
#35
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
41/75 = 54.7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 14.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2.7500 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1.0116 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2.0000 | |
| points_diff | 2015.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 11.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 9.7521 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0.3641 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.9200 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 56.6216 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 46.8695 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 54.7945 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 54.4304 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 69.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 75.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.1014 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0.2695 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0.1181 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2.4599 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -4.3765 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -1.4947 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0.2638 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 72.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 72.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -1.7500 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1.0466 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.8024 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.5152 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.5484 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7.4935 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6.6807 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 9.8653 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.0522 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.0173 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 19.5042 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.3300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.9459 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.9071 | |
| utr_advantage | 2.0787 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
8590
API ID
14494924
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
US Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"player1": "Lorenzo Musetti",
"player2": "Flavio Cobolli",
"tournament": "US Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-08-30T15:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
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"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
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"player_stats": {
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"p2_surface_matches": 75,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.10144927536231885,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.26945147420147464,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.11811588531345762,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.4599063267813293,
"bp_saved_diff": -4.376537954743597,
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"aces_per_match_diff": -0.26378918324482825,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 72.0,
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"momentum_diff": 0.0,
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"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
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"match_load_p1": 2,
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"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
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"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
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"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
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"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0466321243523315,
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"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5151515151515151,
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"serve_consistency_p1": 7.493506905979935,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.680679528958768,
"surface_rank_synergy": 9.865253639946054,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.052216216216216194,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.017304985337243395,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 19.504240310691927,
"utr_diff": 0.3299999999999983,
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"feature_importance": {
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"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
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"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
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"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
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"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
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"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
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"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
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"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
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"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
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"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
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