Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul
US Open | Hard | Round of 32
31 Aug 2025, 01:35
31 Aug 2025, 01:35
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alexander … | Tommy … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alexander Bublik
Ranking
#11
UTR Rating
16.13 Pro
UTR Ranking
#5
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
100% (10p)
WR Hard
36/66 = 54.5%
Tommy Paul
Ranking
#20
UTR Rating
15.97 Pro
UTR Ranking
#14
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
41/61 = 67.2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 9.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1.8182 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0.5978 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| points_diff | 770.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -3.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -13.5436 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -11.8681 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1.0820 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 54.8889 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 68.4325 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 54.2857 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 66.1538 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 66.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 61.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.0909 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 11.0373 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 3.5647 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -3.7694 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 6.5443 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -3.1129 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 5.1929 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 100.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 78.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 22.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 2.6600 | |
| current_streak_diff | 3.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -1.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.9455 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1.0776 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.4286 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.4815 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5.3866 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5.4683 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -8.0969 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.0399 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.1933 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.1600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.9565 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.9376 | |
| utr_advantage | 0.9969 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
8597
API ID
14494925
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
US Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 8597,
"api_id": 14494925,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Alexander Bublik",
"player2": "Tommy Paul",
"tournament": "US Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-08-31T01:35:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 16.13,
"utr_ranking": 5,
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"wr_surface": 54.54545454545454,
"wr_surface_wins": 36,
"wr_surface_total": 66,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 100.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 20,
"utr_singles": 15.97,
"utr_ranking": 14,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 67.21311475409836,
"wr_surface_wins": 41,
"wr_surface_total": 61,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 5,
"division": "Pro",
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},
"p2": {
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"division": "Pro",
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"features": {
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"log_rank_ratio": 0.5978370007556204,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"points_diff": 770,
"best_rank_diff": -3,
"surface_wr_diff": -13.543605390287311,
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"surface_matches_ratio": 1.0819672131147542,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
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"surface_wr_p2": 68.4324942791762,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 54.285714285714285,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 66.15384615384615,
"p1_surface_matches": 66,
"p2_surface_matches": 61,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.09090909090909091,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 11.037329417747245,
"first_serve_won_diff": 3.564718281210247,
"second_serve_won_diff": -3.7694057971014487,
"bp_saved_diff": 6.544250699211801,
"bp_converted_diff": -3.1129087210780497,
"aces_per_match_diff": 5.192896008136281,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
"momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 77.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": 22.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 2.6599999999999824,
"current_streak_diff": 3,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": -1,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9454545454545454,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0776014109347443,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.42857142857142855,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.48148148148148145,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.386570556703212,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.4682999212370555,
"surface_rank_synergy": -8.09686842594702,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.03988888888888886,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.19332494279176193,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.15999999999999837,
"utr_p1": 0.956470588235294,
"utr_p2": 0.9376470588235295,
"utr_advantage": 0.996884735202482,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
"utr_p1": "0.012",
"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
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}
}