Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul
US Open | Hard | Round of 32
31 Ago 2025, 05:35
31 Ago 2025, 05:35
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alexander … | Tommy … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alexander Bublik
Ranking
#10
UTR Rating
15,95 Pro
UTR Ranking
#4
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
100% (10p)
WR Hard
20/36 = 55,6%
Tommy Paul
Ranking
#20
UTR Rating
15,63 Pro
UTR Ranking
#15
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
16/23 = 69,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 10,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,6931 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 1015,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -2,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -13,5436 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -11,8681 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,0820 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 54,8889 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 68,4325 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 54,2857 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 66,1538 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 66,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 61,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0909 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 11,0373 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 3,5647 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -3,7694 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 6,5443 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -3,1129 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 5,1929 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 78,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 22,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 2,6600 | |
| current_streak_diff | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,9455 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,0776 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4286 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4815 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,3866 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,4683 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -9,3877 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0389 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1943 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -13,5436 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,3200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,9353 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8976 | |
| utr_advantage | 2,0266 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
8597
API ID
14494925
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
US Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 8597,
"api_id": 14494925,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Alexander Bublik",
"player2": "Tommy Paul",
"tournament": "US Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-08-31T01:35:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 10,
"utr_singles": 15.95,
"utr_ranking": 4,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 55.55555555555556,
"wr_surface_wins": 20,
"wr_surface_total": 36,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 100.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 20,
"utr_singles": 15.63,
"utr_ranking": 15,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 69.56521739130434,
"wr_surface_wins": 16,
"wr_surface_total": 23,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.95,
"ranking": 4,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.63,
"ranking": 15,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 2.0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.6931471805599453,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"points_diff": 1015,
"best_rank_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": -13.543605390287311,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -11.868131868131861,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.0819672131147542,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 54.888888888888886,
"surface_wr_p2": 68.4324942791762,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 54.285714285714285,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 66.15384615384615,
"p1_surface_matches": 66,
"p2_surface_matches": 61,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.09090909090909091,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 11.037329417747245,
"first_serve_won_diff": 3.564718281210247,
"second_serve_won_diff": -3.7694057971014487,
"bp_saved_diff": 6.544250699211801,
"bp_converted_diff": -3.1129087210780497,
"aces_per_match_diff": 5.192896008136281,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
"momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 77.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": 22.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 2.6599999999999824,
"current_streak_diff": 3,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": -1,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9454545454545454,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0776014109347443,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.42857142857142855,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.48148148148148145,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.386570556703212,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.4682999212370555,
"surface_rank_synergy": -9.387711890894128,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.03888888888888886,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.19432494279176193,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -13.543605390287311,
"utr_diff": 0.3199999999999985,
"utr_p1": 0.9352941176470587,
"utr_p2": 0.8976470588235295,
"utr_advantage": 2.0265991133628787,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}