Daria Kasatkina vs Naomi Osaka
US Open | Hard | Round of 32
30 Aug 2025, 17:20
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Daria … Naomi … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Daria Kasatkina
Ranking #37
UTR Rating 12.20 Pro
UTR Ranking #54
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 35/64 = 54.7%
Naomi Osaka
Ranking #16
UTR Rating 12.60 Pro
UTR Ranking #12
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 37/55 = 67.3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -21.0000
rank_ratio 0.4324
log_rank_ratio -0.8383
rank_tier_advantage -1.0000
points_diff -1153.0000
best_rank_diff -7.0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -18.1432
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -11.6899
surface_matches_ratio 1.1636
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1.0000
surface_wr_p1 51.2923
surface_wr_p2 69.4355
surface_wr_p1_stable 54.4118
surface_wr_p2_stable 66.1017
p1_surface_matches 64.0000
p2_surface_matches 55.0000
p1_surface_dominance 0.0938
Confianza
p1_confidence 1.0000
p2_confidence 1.0000
combined_confidence 1.0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -16.7907
first_serve_won_diff -13.2038
second_serve_won_diff -2.4927
bp_saved_diff -5.7457
bp_converted_diff -2.1057
aces_per_match_diff -4.7205
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0.2000
last3_wr_diff 0.0000
momentum_p1 72.0000
momentum_p2 80.0000
momentum_diff -8.0000
weighted_momentum_diff -5.3200
current_streak_diff 0.0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1.0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1.0000
match_load_p1 2.0000
match_load_p2 2.0000
match_load_diff 0.0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0.0000
h2h_matches 0.0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0.5000
h2h_on_surface 0.0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0.5000
h2h_confidence_score 0.0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0.6181
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1.0576
tiebreak_wr_p1 0.4000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0.5263
serve_consistency_p1 6.4104
serve_consistency_p2 6.7308
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 15.2100
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0.0339
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0.1734
elite_surface_amplifier 0.0000
UTR
utr_diff -0.4000
utr_p1 0.4941
utr_p2 0.5412
utr_advantage -3.2258
utr_both_pro 1.0000
utr_available 1.0000
utr_expected_prob 0.0000
utr_closeness 0.0000
utr_data_quality 0.0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff 0.1032
surface_rank_synergy 0.0540
points_diff 0.0344
utr_diff 0.0324
utr_advantage 0.0308
rank_tier_advantage 0.0300
rank_advantage 0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0.0206
log_rank_ratio 0.0186
utr_available 0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID 8601
API ID 14494979
Gamdom ID -
Torneo US Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
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    "player2": "Naomi Osaka",
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    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2025-08-30T17:20:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
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