Maya Joint vs Jessica Pegula
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
13 Jan 2025, 06:10
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Maya … Jessica … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Maya Joint
Ranking #32
UTR Rating 12.19 Pro
UTR Ranking #56
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 67% (6p)
WR Hard 44/72 = 61.1%
Jessica Pegula
Ranking #6
UTR Rating 12.78 Pro
UTR Ranking #7
Forma L5 75% (4p)
Forma L10 75% (4p)
WR Hard 62/87 = 71.3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -26.0000
rank_ratio 0.1875
log_rank_ratio -1.6740
rank_tier_advantage -2.0000
points_diff -4044.0000
best_rank_diff -29.0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -9.4852
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -9.8034
surface_matches_ratio 0.8276
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0.0000
surface_wr_p1 61.1915
surface_wr_p2 70.6767
surface_wr_p1_stable 60.5263
surface_wr_p2_stable 70.3297
p1_surface_matches 72.0000
p2_surface_matches 87.0000
p1_surface_dominance 0.2222
Confianza
p1_confidence 1.0000
p2_confidence 1.0000
combined_confidence 1.0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -5.4820
first_serve_won_diff -6.2127
second_serve_won_diff 1.0926
bp_saved_diff -8.5618
bp_converted_diff 1.8906
aces_per_match_diff -1.3517
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0.1500
last3_wr_diff 0.0000
momentum_p1 58.0000
momentum_p2 59.1837
momentum_diff -1.1837
weighted_momentum_diff -3.3602
current_streak_diff 0.0000
days_since_last_match_p1 2.0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2.0000
match_load_p1 5.0000
match_load_p2 4.0000
match_load_diff 1.0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0.0000
h2h_matches 0.0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0.5000
h2h_on_surface 0.0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0.5000
h2h_confidence_score 0.0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0.4359
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0.9061
tiebreak_wr_p1 0.6429
tiebreak_wr_p2 0.4348
serve_consistency_p1 10.0806
serve_consistency_p2 9.0915
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 15.8780
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0.1379
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0.1808
elite_surface_amplifier 0.0000
UTR
utr_diff -0.5900
utr_p1 0.4929
utr_p2 0.5624
utr_advantage -4.7257
utr_both_pro 1.0000
utr_available 1.0000
utr_expected_prob 0.0000
utr_closeness 0.0000
utr_data_quality 0.0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff 0.1064
utr_advantage 0.0605
surface_rank_synergy 0.0462
points_diff 0.0341
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0.0245
utr_diff 0.0228
rank_advantage 0.0226
rank_ratio 0.0203
utr_both_pro 0.0201
utr_available 0.0180
Info del Partido
Match ID 861
API ID 13314291
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 128
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 861,
    "api_id": 13314291,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Maya Joint",
    "player2": "Jessica Pegula",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 128",
    "date": "2025-01-13T06:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 32,
      "utr_singles": 12.19,
      "utr_ranking": 56,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 61.111111111111114,
      "wr_surface_wins": 44,
      "wr_surface_total": 72,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 6
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 6,
      "utr_singles": 12.78,
      "utr_ranking": 7,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 71.26436781609196,
      "wr_surface_wins": 62,
      "wr_surface_total": 87,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 75.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 75.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 4,
      "form_l10_matches": 4
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.19,
      "ranking": 56,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.78,
      "ranking": 7,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "rank_advantage": -26,
    "rank_ratio": 0.1875,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.6739764335716716,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -2,
    "points_diff": -4044,
    "best_rank_diff": -29,
    "surface_wr_diff": -9.48520236762117,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -9.80335454019665,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.8275862068965517,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 61.191489361702125,
    "surface_wr_p2": 70.6766917293233,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 60.526315789473685,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 70.32967032967034,
    "p1_surface_matches": 72,
    "p2_surface_matches": 87,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.2222222222222222,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "serve_quality_diff": -5.481952813949768,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -6.21265307950727,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 1.092552743561015,
    "bp_saved_diff": -8.561789473684215,
    "bp_converted_diff": 1.8905921612541974,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.3516960486322187,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.15000000000000002,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "momentum_p1": 57.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 59.183673469387756,
    "momentum_diff": -1.183673469387763,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -3.360204081632645,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "match_load_p1": 5,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.4358974358974359,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.906060606060606,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6428571428571429,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.43478260869565216,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.080620712836673,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 9.091504492145909,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 15.878005231056061,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.13791489361702125,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.1807669172932329,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
    "utr_diff": -0.5899999999999999,
    "utr_p1": 0.49294117647058816,
    "utr_p2": 0.5623529411764705,
    "utr_advantage": -4.725670804965958,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0
  },
  "feature_importance": {
    "rank_advantage": "0.0226",
    "rank_ratio": "0.0203",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0168",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.0153",
    "points_diff": "0.0341",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0142",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.1064",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0245",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0134",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0122",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.0158",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0114",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0135",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0125",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0132",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0149",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0114",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0127",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0139",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.0129",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0132",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.0122",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0118",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0119",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0121",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0097",
    "momentum_p1": "0.013",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0108",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0135",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0128",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0124",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0123",
    "match_load_p1": "0.0141",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0137",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0122",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0127",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0092",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0141",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0124",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0143",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0128",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0128",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0128",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0119",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0115",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.0462",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0143",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0135",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0155",
    "utr_diff": "0.0228",
    "utr_p1": "0.0136",
    "utr_p2": "0.0123",
    "utr_advantage": "0.0605",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0201",
    "utr_available": "0.018"
  }
}