Maya Joint vs Jessica Pegula
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
13 Jan 2025, 06:10
13 Jan 2025, 06:10
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Maya … | Jessica … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Maya Joint
Ranking
#32
UTR Rating
12.19 Pro
UTR Ranking
#56
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
67% (6p)
WR Hard
44/72 = 61.1%
Jessica Pegula
Ranking
#6
UTR Rating
12.78 Pro
UTR Ranking
#7
Forma L5
75% (4p)
Forma L10
75% (4p)
WR Hard
62/87 = 71.3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -26.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.1875 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1.6740 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2.0000 | |
| points_diff | -4044.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -29.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -9.4852 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -9.8034 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.8276 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 61.1915 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 70.6767 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 60.5263 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 70.3297 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 72.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 87.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.2222 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -5.4820 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -6.2127 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1.0926 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -8.5618 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 1.8906 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1.3517 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.1500 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 58.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 59.1837 | |
| momentum_diff | -1.1837 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -3.3602 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 5.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.4359 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.9061 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.6429 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.4348 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10.0806 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9.0915 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 15.8780 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.1379 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.1808 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.5900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.4929 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.5624 | |
| utr_advantage | -4.7257 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1064
utr_advantage
0.0605
surface_rank_synergy
0.0462
points_diff
0.0341
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0245
utr_diff
0.0228
rank_advantage
0.0226
rank_ratio
0.0203
utr_both_pro
0.0201
utr_available
0.0180
Info del Partido
Match ID
861
API ID
13314291
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"match": {
"id": 861,
"api_id": 13314291,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Maya Joint",
"player2": "Jessica Pegula",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2025-01-13T06:10:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 12.19,
"utr_ranking": 56,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 61.111111111111114,
"wr_surface_wins": 44,
"wr_surface_total": 72,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 6
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 12.78,
"utr_ranking": 7,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 71.26436781609196,
"wr_surface_wins": 62,
"wr_surface_total": 87,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 75.0,
"form_l10_wr": 75.0,
"form_l5_matches": 4,
"form_l10_matches": 4
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 56,
"division": "Pro",
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},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 7,
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"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 0.1875,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.6739764335716716,
"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"points_diff": -4044,
"best_rank_diff": -29,
"surface_wr_diff": -9.48520236762117,
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"surface_matches_ratio": 0.8275862068965517,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
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"surface_wr_p2": 70.6766917293233,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 60.526315789473685,
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"p1_surface_matches": 72,
"p2_surface_matches": 87,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.2222222222222222,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -5.481952813949768,
"first_serve_won_diff": -6.21265307950727,
"second_serve_won_diff": 1.092552743561015,
"bp_saved_diff": -8.561789473684215,
"bp_converted_diff": 1.8905921612541974,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.3516960486322187,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.15000000000000002,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 57.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 59.183673469387756,
"momentum_diff": -1.183673469387763,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -3.360204081632645,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"match_load_p1": 5,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.4358974358974359,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.906060606060606,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6428571428571429,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.43478260869565216,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.080620712836673,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.091504492145909,
"surface_rank_synergy": 15.878005231056061,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.13791489361702125,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.1807669172932329,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.5899999999999999,
"utr_p1": 0.49294117647058816,
"utr_p2": 0.5623529411764705,
"utr_advantage": -4.725670804965958,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0226",
"rank_ratio": "0.0203",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0168",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0153",
"points_diff": "0.0341",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0142",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1064",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0245",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0134",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0158",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0114",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0135",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0125",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0132",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0149",
"p1_confidence": "0.0114",
"p2_confidence": "0.0127",
"combined_confidence": "0.0139",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0129",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0132",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0122",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0118",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0119",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0121",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0097",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0135",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0128",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0124",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0123",
"match_load_p1": "0.0141",
"match_load_p2": "0.0137",
"match_load_diff": "0.0122",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0127",
"h2h_matches": "0.0092",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0141",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0124",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0143",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0128",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0128",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0128",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0119",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0115",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0462",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0143",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0135",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0155",
"utr_diff": "0.0228",
"utr_p1": "0.0136",
"utr_p2": "0.0123",
"utr_advantage": "0.0605",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0201",
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}
}