Arthur Rinderknech vs Carlos Alcaraz
US Open | Hard | Round of 16
31 Ago 2025, 21:40
31 Ago 2025, 21:40
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Arthur … | Carlos … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Arthur Rinderknech
Ranking
#28
UTR Rating
15,47 Pro
UTR Ranking
#28
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
16/35 = 45,7%
Carlos Alcaraz
Ranking
#1
UTR Rating
16,32 Pro
UTR Ranking
#2
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
90% (10p)
WR Hard
37/43 = 86,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -27,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,0357 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -3,3322 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2,0000 | |
| points_diff | -10499,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -25,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -33,2326 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -26,8733 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,1067 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -5,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 49,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 82,7326 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 52,8736 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 79,7468 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 83,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 75,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0602 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 6,1989 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -1,5916 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -7,8119 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 5,9675 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -7,2632 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 4,6691 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 90,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -10,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | -2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,1676 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,3579 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4595 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5238 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,2875 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 1,7677 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 110,7377 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0220 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,3003 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,8500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8788 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,9788 | |
| utr_advantage | -5,3476 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
8653
API ID
14494932
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
US Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 8653,
"api_id": 14494932,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Arthur Rinderknech",
"player2": "Carlos Alcaraz",
"tournament": "US Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-08-31T17:40:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 28,
"utr_singles": 15.47,
"utr_ranking": 28,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 45.714285714285715,
"wr_surface_wins": 16,
"wr_surface_total": 35,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 1,
"utr_singles": 16.32,
"utr_ranking": 2,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 86.04651162790698,
"wr_surface_wins": 37,
"wr_surface_total": 43,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 90.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.47,
"ranking": 28,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 16.32,
"ranking": 2,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": -27,
"rank_ratio": 0.03571428571428571,
"log_rank_ratio": -3.332204510175204,
"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"points_diff": -10499,
"best_rank_diff": -25,
"surface_wr_diff": -33.23255813953489,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -26.873272224647174,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.1066666666666667,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -5,
"surface_wr_p1": 49.5,
"surface_wr_p2": 82.73255813953489,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 52.87356321839081,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 79.74683544303798,
"p1_surface_matches": 83,
"p2_surface_matches": 75,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.060240963855421686,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 6.198872383720939,
"first_serve_won_diff": -1.5915784883720931,
"second_serve_won_diff": -7.81188372093024,
"bp_saved_diff": 5.96748401162791,
"bp_converted_diff": -7.263239825581394,
"aces_per_match_diff": 4.669113372093023,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 89.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": -10.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"current_streak_diff": -2,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": -1,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.1676136363636365,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.3578732106339468,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4594594594594595,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5238095238095238,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.287511459407875,
"serve_consistency_p2": 1.7676694757488063,
"surface_rank_synergy": 110.73768011721783,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.02200000000000002,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.3003255813953488,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.8499999999999996,
"utr_p1": 0.8788235294117648,
"utr_p2": 0.9788235294117648,
"utr_advantage": -5.347593582887698,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}