Tomas Machac vs Taylor Fritz
US Open | Hard | Round of 16
31 Aug 2025, 22:10
31 Aug 2025, 22:10
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Tomas … | Taylor … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Tomas Machac
Ranking
#32
UTR Rating
15.61 Pro
UTR Ranking
#52
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
44/71 = 62.0%
Taylor Fritz
Ranking
#6
UTR Rating
16.00 Pro
UTR Ranking
#11
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
59/88 = 67.0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -26.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.1875 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1.6740 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2.0000 | |
| points_diff | -2690.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -16.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -7.0166 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -4.9710 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.8068 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 60.3202 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 67.3368 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 61.3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 66.3043 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 71.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 88.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.2394 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -11.8018 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -5.2886 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2.4413 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -6.1776 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 6.9111 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -4.9450 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 90.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 92.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -2.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0.0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1.1078 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1.2700 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.5882 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.5652 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 11.0068 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 3.1735 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 11.7457 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.1292 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.1474 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.3900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.8953 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.9412 | |
| utr_advantage | -2.4676 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
8654
API ID
14494939
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
US Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"match": {
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"api_id": 14494939,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Tomas Machac",
"player2": "Taylor Fritz",
"tournament": "US Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-08-31T22:10:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
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"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
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},
"tnnslive": {
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},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"wr_surface": 61.97183098591549,
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"wr_surface_total": 71,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
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},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 16.0,
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"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
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"utr": {
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"best_rank_diff": -16,
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"surface_wr_p2": 67.33684210526316,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 61.33333333333333,
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"p1_surface_matches": 71,
"p2_surface_matches": 88,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.23943661971830985,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -11.801811345605401,
"first_serve_won_diff": -5.288610630023314,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.4413198859216863,
"bp_saved_diff": -6.177569043297893,
"bp_converted_diff": 6.911144360902249,
"aces_per_match_diff": -4.944950998185119,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 89.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 92.0,
"momentum_diff": -2.000000000000014,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.1077694235588973,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.27,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5882352941176471,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5652173913043478,
"serve_consistency_p1": 11.00675517583502,
"serve_consistency_p2": 3.1734573638934185,
"surface_rank_synergy": 11.745698474730846,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.1292019704433498,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.1473684210526316,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.39000000000000057,
"utr_p1": 0.8952941176470588,
"utr_p2": 0.9411764705882353,
"utr_advantage": -2.4675735526732083,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
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"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
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"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
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"utr_p2": "0.0115",
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}