Naomi Osaka vs Caroline Garcia
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
13 Ene 2025, 15:35
13 Ene 2025, 15:35
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Naomi … | Caroline … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Naomi Osaka
Ranking
#17
UTR Rating
12,60 Pro
UTR Ranking
#15
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (5p)
WR Hard
23/31 = 74,2%
Caroline Garcia
Ranking
#307
UTR Rating
12,06 Pro
UTR Ranking
#90
Forma L5
50% (0p)
Forma L10
50% (0p)
WR Hard
4/12 = 33,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 290,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 18,0588 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 2,8936 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 4,0000 | |
| points_diff | 2155,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 3,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 31,8164 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 22,8585 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,6667 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 69,4355 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 37,6190 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 66,1017 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 43,2432 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 55,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 33,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,3455 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 9,8866 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 8,9723 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 5,2464 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 11,0502 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 11,3973 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,9133 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,3000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,1667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 10,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 32,5700 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 8,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 30,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 4,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,0576 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,8372 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5263 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6154 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 2,4277 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,0000 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 92,0651 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0956 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1662 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 127,2657 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,5400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5412 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4776 | |
| utr_advantage | 4,3796 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
868
API ID
13314285
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 868,
"api_id": 13314285,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Naomi Osaka",
"player2": "Caroline Garcia",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2025-01-13T11:35:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 17,
"utr_singles": 12.6,
"utr_ranking": 15,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 74.19354838709677,
"wr_surface_wins": 23,
"wr_surface_total": 31,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 5
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 307,
"utr_singles": 12.06,
"utr_ranking": 90,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 12,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50,
"form_l10_wr": 50,
"form_l5_matches": 0,
"form_l10_matches": 0
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.6,
"ranking": 15,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.06,
"ranking": 90,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": 290,
"rank_ratio": 18.058823529411764,
"log_rank_ratio": 2.893634403530981,
"rank_tier_advantage": 4,
"points_diff": 2155,
"best_rank_diff": 3,
"surface_wr_diff": 31.81643625192013,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 22.858451672011,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.6666666666666667,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 69.43548387096774,
"surface_wr_p2": 37.61904761904761,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 66.10169491525424,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 43.24324324324324,
"p1_surface_matches": 55,
"p2_surface_matches": 33,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.34545454545454546,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 9.886625384024576,
"first_serve_won_diff": 8.972321428571433,
"second_serve_won_diff": 5.246428571428574,
"bp_saved_diff": 11.05017857142856,
"bp_converted_diff": 11.39732142857143,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.9132680491551453,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.30000000000000004,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.16666666666666663,
"momentum_p1": 60.0,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"momentum_diff": 10.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 32.57000000000001,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 8,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 30,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"match_load_diff": 4,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0576131687242798,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8372093023255814,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5263157894736842,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6153846153846154,
"serve_consistency_p1": 2.427748387077744,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
"surface_rank_synergy": 92.06513453630639,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.09564516129032263,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.16619047619047617,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 127.26574500768052,
"utr_diff": 0.5399999999999991,
"utr_p1": 0.5411764705882353,
"utr_p2": 0.4776470588235295,
"utr_advantage": 4.379562043795613,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}