Dennis Novak vs Jozef Kovalik
Tulln, Austria | Clay | Qualification Final
01 Sep 2025, 12:00
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Dennis … Jozef … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Dennis Novak
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,64 Pro
UTR Ranking #592
Forma L5 100% (1p)
Forma L10 100% (1p)
WR Clay 3/5 = 60,0%
Jozef Kovalik
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,90 Pro
UTR Ranking #433
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 20% (10p)
WR Clay 10/23 = 43,5%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Dennis Novak
Record 2025 27W - 22L (55%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 13,6
Últimos 5:
L W L L W
Jozef Kovalik
Record 2025 13W - 25L (34%)
Racha 5L
UTR Oponentes 14,2
Últimos 5:
L L L L L
Análisis Momentum
Jozef Kovalik ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 14,2 vs 13,6).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 9,1107
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -0,9411
surface_matches_ratio 0,0746
surface_tournaments_won_diff -3,0000
surface_wr_p1 60,0000
surface_wr_p2 50,8893
surface_wr_p1_stable 57,7778
surface_wr_p2_stable 59,1549
p1_surface_matches 5,0000
p2_surface_matches 67,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3667
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,6833
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -58,4898
first_serve_won_diff -68,7800
second_serve_won_diff -56,8800
bp_saved_diff -55,8200
bp_converted_diff -41,2000
aces_per_match_diff -3,5179
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,6000
last3_wr_diff 0,6667
momentum_p1 100,0000
momentum_p2 48,0000
momentum_diff 52,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 38,7000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,0231
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5600
serve_consistency_p1 10,0000
serve_consistency_p2 4,2070
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0089
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,2600
utr_p1 0,6635
utr_p2 0,6941
utr_advantage -1,8882
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage 0,1087
utr_diff 0,0839
surface_wr_diff 0,0685
surface_rank_synergy 0,0307
rank_advantage 0,0208
rank_ratio 0,0191
surface_wr_p1 0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0184
surface_wr_p2 0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID 8695
API ID 14585197
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Tulln, Austria
Superficie Clay
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 8695,
    "api_id": 14585197,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Dennis Novak",
    "player2": "Jozef Kovalik",
    "tournament": "Tulln, Austria",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2025-09-01T08:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.64,
      "utr_ranking": 592,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 27,
      "utr_v4_losses": 22,
      "utr_v4_wr": 55.10204081632652,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 13.62,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 14.26,
          "opponent_name": "Harry Wendelken"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.57,
          "opponent_name": "Bernabe Zapata Miralles"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 14.22,
          "opponent_name": "Dimitar Kuzmanov"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 14.47,
          "opponent_name": "Roberto Carballes Baena"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.88,
          "opponent_name": "Gabriele Piraino"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:01.022684+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 60.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 3,
      "wr_surface_total": 5,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 1,
      "form_l10_matches": 1
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.9,
      "utr_ranking": 433,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 13,
      "utr_v4_losses": 25,
      "utr_v4_wr": 34.21052631578947,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 5,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 14.21,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 15.28,
          "opponent_name": "Dino Prizmic"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.83,
          "opponent_name": "Enrico Dalla valle"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 14.21,
          "opponent_name": "Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.77,
          "opponent_name": "Alberto Barroso Campos"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.64,
          "opponent_name": "Sebastian Sorger"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:58.637224+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 43.47826086956522,
      "wr_surface_wins": 10,
      "wr_surface_total": 23,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 13.64,
      "ranking": 592,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 13.9,
      "ranking": 433,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 9.110671936758898,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -0.9410537297861208,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.07462686567164178,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 60.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 50.8893280632411,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 57.77777777777778,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 59.154929577464785,
    "p1_surface_matches": 5,
    "p2_surface_matches": 67,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.2,
    "p1_confidence": 0.36666666666666664,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.6833333333333333,
    "serve_quality_diff": -58.489770750988136,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -68.78,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -56.879999999999995,
    "bp_saved_diff": -55.81999999999999,
    "bp_converted_diff": -41.199999999999996,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -3.517885375494071,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.6,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666667,
    "momentum_p1": 100.0,
    "momentum_p2": 48.00000000000001,
    "momentum_diff": 51.99999999999999,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 38.7,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.023076923076923,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.56,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 4.2070065114705795,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.09999999999999998,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.008893280632411016,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "utr_diff": -0.2599999999999998,
    "utr_p1": 0.6635294117647059,
    "utr_p2": 0.6941176470588236,
    "utr_advantage": -1.8881626724763967,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0
  },
  "feature_importance": {
    "rank_advantage": "0.0208",
    "rank_ratio": "0.0191",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
    "points_diff": "0.0137",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0097",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0123",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0116",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p1": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0108",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0122",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
    "match_load_p1": "0.0117",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0111",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0106",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0117",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
    "utr_diff": "0.0839",
    "utr_p1": "0.0118",
    "utr_p2": "0.0114",
    "utr_advantage": "0.1087",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
    "utr_available": "0.0118"
  }
}