Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Iga Swiatek
US Open | Hard | Round of 16
01 Sep 2025, 21:10
01 Sep 2025, 21:10
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Ekaterina … | Iga … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Ranking
#11
UTR Rating
12,74 Pro
UTR Ranking
#7
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
24/40 = 60,0%
Iga Swiatek
Ranking
#2
UTR Rating
12,90 Pro
UTR Ranking
#3
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
90% (10p)
WR Hard
41/52 = 78,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -9,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,1818 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,7047 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -4953,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -9,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -22,4550 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -23,2789 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,7553 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -3,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 58,4516 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 80,9066 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 57,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 80,6122 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 71,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 94,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1549 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 3,4553 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0,3472 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -3,2732 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 3,1028 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -5,3693 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2,3054 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 92,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -8,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | -2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 7,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 3,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,8625 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,9835 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5556 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,2355 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,7755 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 38,2801 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0935 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,3001 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,1600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5576 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5765 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,2480 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
8774
API ID
14495003
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
US Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 8774,
"api_id": 14495003,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Ekaterina Alexandrova",
"player2": "Iga Swiatek",
"tournament": "US Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-09-01T17:10:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 11,
"utr_singles": 12.74,
"utr_ranking": 7,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 60.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 24,
"wr_surface_total": 40,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 2,
"utr_singles": 12.9,
"utr_ranking": 3,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 78.84615384615384,
"wr_surface_wins": 41,
"wr_surface_total": 52,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 90.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 7,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 3,
"division": "Pro",
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}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 0.18181818181818182,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.7047480922384253,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"points_diff": -4953,
"best_rank_diff": -9,
"surface_wr_diff": -22.454980503367594,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -23.27891156462585,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.7553191489361702,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -3,
"surface_wr_p1": 58.45161290322581,
"surface_wr_p2": 80.9065934065934,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 57.333333333333336,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 80.61224489795919,
"p1_surface_matches": 71,
"p2_surface_matches": 94,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.15492957746478872,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 3.455329049982275,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.34720001772420517,
"second_serve_won_diff": -3.273166873449128,
"bp_saved_diff": 3.1027862460120588,
"bp_converted_diff": -5.369281726338173,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.30543956043956,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 92.0,
"momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": -7.999999999999986,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"current_streak_diff": -2,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 7,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"match_load_diff": 3,
"h2h_wins_diff": -1,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.862453531598513,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9835294117647059,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5555555555555556,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.235517307484286,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.775458490569717,
"surface_rank_synergy": 38.28008517436694,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.09351612903225803,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.30006593406593396,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.16000000000000014,
"utr_p1": 0.5576470588235294,
"utr_p2": 0.5764705882352942,
"utr_advantage": -1.248049921996881,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}