Daniel Rincon vs Pablo Carreño Busta
Sevilla, Spain | Clay | Round of 32
02 Sep 2025, 17:15
02 Sep 2025, 17:15
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Daniel … | Pablo … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Daniel Rincon
Ranking
#241
UTR Rating
14.02 Pro
UTR Ranking
#357
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
20% (5p)
WR Clay
25/55 = 45.5%
Pablo Carreño Busta
Ranking
#89
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Clay
15/32 = 46.9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -152.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.3693 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0.9962 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2.0000 | |
| points_diff | -447.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -171.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -2.5597 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -1.4595 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1.7188 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 2.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 42.4403 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 45.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 45.7627 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 47.2222 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 55.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 32.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0.0909 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -1.9896 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -3.6100 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -3.1900 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -3.9300 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 12.9600 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0.3862 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 38.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -36.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -32.8540 | |
| current_streak_diff | -3.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 49.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 5.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -3.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.6667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.7143 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 2.2761 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7.4989 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 2.5499 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.0764 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.2020 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.7082 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.7082 | |
| utr_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0.0000 | |
| utr_available | 0.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
8889
API ID
14581055
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Sevilla, Spain
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"match": {
"id": 8889,
"api_id": 14581055,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Daniel Rincon",
"player2": "Pablo Carre\u00f1o Busta",
"tournament": "Sevilla, Spain",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-09-02T17:15:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
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"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 14.02,
"utr_ranking": 357,
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"wr_surface": 45.45454545454545,
"wr_surface_wins": 25,
"wr_surface_total": 55,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 20.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 5
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 89,
"utr_singles": null,
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"wr_surface": 46.875,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 32,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"p2": {
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"features": {
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"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"points_diff": -447,
"best_rank_diff": -171,
"surface_wr_diff": -2.5596816976127315,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -1.4595103578154394,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.71875,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2,
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"surface_wr_p2": 45.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 45.76271186440678,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 47.22222222222222,
"p1_surface_matches": 55,
"p2_surface_matches": 32,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.09090909090909091,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -1.9895862068965542,
"first_serve_won_diff": -3.6099999999999994,
"second_serve_won_diff": -3.1899999999999977,
"bp_saved_diff": -3.9299999999999997,
"bp_converted_diff": 12.96,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.386206896551724,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.2,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 2.0,
"momentum_p2": 38.0,
"momentum_diff": -36.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -32.854,
"current_streak_diff": -3,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 49,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 5,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"match_load_diff": -3,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
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"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7142857142857143,
"serve_consistency_p1": 2.276126673048627,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.498895000625646,
"surface_rank_synergy": 2.5498539629362518,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.07640318302387272,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.202,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"utr_p1": 0.708235294117647,
"utr_p2": 0.708235294117647,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
"utr_p1": "0.012",
"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
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}