Daniel Rincon vs Pablo Carreño Busta
Sevilla, Spain | Clay | Round of 32
02 Sep 2025, 21:15
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Daniel … Pablo … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Daniel Rincon
Ranking #255
UTR Rating 14,01 Pro
UTR Ranking #378
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 20% (5p)
WR Clay 10/26 = 38,5%
Pablo Carreño Busta
Ranking #94
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Clay 13/26 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -161,0000
rank_ratio 0,3686
log_rank_ratio -0,9980
rank_tier_advantage -2,0000
points_diff -444,0000
best_rank_diff -171,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -2,5597
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -1,4595
surface_matches_ratio 1,7188
surface_tournaments_won_diff 2,0000
surface_wr_p1 42,4403
surface_wr_p2 45,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 45,7627
surface_wr_p2_stable 47,2222
p1_surface_matches 55,0000
p2_surface_matches 32,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,0909
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -1,9896
first_serve_won_diff -3,6100
second_serve_won_diff -3,1900
bp_saved_diff -3,9300
bp_converted_diff 12,9600
aces_per_match_diff 0,3862
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 2,0000
momentum_p2 38,0000
momentum_diff -36,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -33,0840
current_streak_diff -3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 49,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 5,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff -3,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,6667
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,7143
serve_consistency_p1 2,2761
serve_consistency_p2 7,4989
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 2,5545
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0854
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,2110
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,7071
utr_p2 0,7071
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage 0,1087
utr_diff 0,0839
surface_wr_diff 0,0685
surface_rank_synergy 0,0307
rank_advantage 0,0208
rank_ratio 0,0191
surface_wr_p1 0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0184
surface_wr_p2 0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID 8889
API ID 14581055
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Sevilla, Spain
Superficie Clay
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 8889,
    "api_id": 14581055,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Daniel Rincon",
    "player2": "Pablo Carre\u00f1o Busta",
    "tournament": "Sevilla, Spain",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2025-09-02T17:15:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 255,
      "utr_singles": 14.01,
      "utr_ranking": 378,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 38.46153846153847,
      "wr_surface_wins": 10,
      "wr_surface_total": 26,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 5
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 94,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 13,
      "wr_surface_total": 26,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.01,
      "ranking": 378,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "rank_advantage": -161,
    "rank_ratio": 0.3686274509803922,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.9979687628884222,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -2,
    "points_diff": -444,
    "best_rank_diff": -171,
    "surface_wr_diff": -2.5596816976127315,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -1.4595103578154394,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.71875,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2,
    "surface_wr_p1": 42.44031830238727,
    "surface_wr_p2": 45.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 45.76271186440678,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 47.22222222222222,
    "p1_surface_matches": 55,
    "p2_surface_matches": 32,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.09090909090909091,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "serve_quality_diff": -1.9895862068965542,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -3.6099999999999994,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -3.1899999999999977,
    "bp_saved_diff": -3.9299999999999997,
    "bp_converted_diff": 12.96,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.386206896551724,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.2,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "momentum_p1": 2.0,
    "momentum_p2": 38.0,
    "momentum_diff": -36.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -33.084,
    "current_streak_diff": -3,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 49,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 5,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "match_load_diff": -3,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7142857142857143,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 2.276126673048627,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.498895000625646,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 2.554482377154714,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.08540318302387273,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.21100000000000002,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "utr_p1": 0.7070588235294117,
    "utr_p2": 0.7070588235294117,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0
  },
  "feature_importance": {
    "rank_advantage": "0.0208",
    "rank_ratio": "0.0191",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
    "points_diff": "0.0137",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0097",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0123",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0116",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p1": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0108",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0122",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
    "match_load_p1": "0.0117",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0111",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0106",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0117",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
    "utr_diff": "0.0839",
    "utr_p1": "0.0118",
    "utr_p2": "0.0114",
    "utr_advantage": "0.1087",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
    "utr_available": "0.0118"
  }
}