Beibit Zhukayev vs Ilia Simakin
Shanghai, China | Hard | Round of 32
03 Sep 2025, 09:00
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Beibit … Ilia … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Beibit Zhukayev
Ranking #261
UTR Rating 14,40 Pro
UTR Ranking #203
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 14/31 = 45,2%
Ilia Simakin
Ranking #275
UTR Rating 14,04 Pro
UTR Ranking #366
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 75% (8p)
WR Hard 23/33 = 69,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 14,0000
rank_ratio 1,0536
log_rank_ratio 0,0523
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 8,0000
best_rank_diff 57,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -23,7539
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -22,1415
surface_matches_ratio 1,5333
surface_tournaments_won_diff -4,0000
surface_wr_p1 45,0340
surface_wr_p2 68,7879
surface_wr_p1_stable 45,2055
surface_wr_p2_stable 67,3469
p1_surface_matches 69,0000
p2_surface_matches 45,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,1014
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 11,1336
first_serve_won_diff 1,9090
second_serve_won_diff -3,8096
bp_saved_diff 4,1020
bp_converted_diff 1,4410
aces_per_match_diff 5,6610
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 40,0000
momentum_p2 60,0000
momentum_diff -20,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -15,2900
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 12,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 138,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4545
serve_consistency_p1 3,6924
serve_consistency_p2 3,6161
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -1,2412
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0637
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,2019
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,3600
utr_p1 0,7529
utr_p2 0,7106
utr_advantage 2,5316
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage 0,1087
utr_diff 0,0839
surface_wr_diff 0,0685
surface_rank_synergy 0,0307
rank_advantage 0,0208
rank_ratio 0,0191
surface_wr_p1 0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0184
surface_wr_p2 0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID 8896
API ID 14579762
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Shanghai, China
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 8896,
    "api_id": 14579762,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Beibit Zhukayev",
    "player2": "Ilia Simakin",
    "tournament": "Shanghai, China",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2025-09-03T05:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 261,
      "utr_singles": 14.4,
      "utr_ranking": 203,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 45.16129032258064,
      "wr_surface_wins": 14,
      "wr_surface_total": 31,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 275,
      "utr_singles": 14.04,
      "utr_ranking": 366,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 69.6969696969697,
      "wr_surface_wins": 23,
      "wr_surface_total": 33,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 75.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 8
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.4,
      "ranking": 203,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.04,
      "ranking": 366,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "rank_advantage": 14,
    "rank_ratio": 1.053639846743295,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.052250690343877894,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "points_diff": 8,
    "best_rank_diff": 57,
    "surface_wr_diff": -23.75392293049339,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -22.141459323455408,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.5333333333333334,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -4,
    "surface_wr_p1": 45.03395585738539,
    "surface_wr_p2": 68.78787878787878,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 45.20547945205479,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 67.3469387755102,
    "p1_surface_matches": 69,
    "p2_surface_matches": 45,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.10144927536231885,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 11.133624170396658,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 1.9089869835879938,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -3.809630601430257,
    "bp_saved_diff": 4.101995163862732,
    "bp_converted_diff": 1.4410413129598183,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 5.661009929515872,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "momentum_p1": 40.0,
    "momentum_p2": 60.0,
    "momentum_diff": -20.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -15.290000000000006,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 12,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 138,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.45454545454545453,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 3.6923956218838963,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 3.6160769449665513,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -1.2411588714935506,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.06366044142614607,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.20187878787878788,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
    "utr_diff": 0.3600000000000012,
    "utr_p1": 0.7529411764705882,
    "utr_p2": 0.7105882352941175,
    "utr_advantage": 2.5316455696202618,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0
  },
  "feature_importance": {
    "rank_advantage": "0.0208",
    "rank_ratio": "0.0191",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
    "points_diff": "0.0137",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0097",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0123",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0116",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p1": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0108",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0122",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
    "match_load_p1": "0.0117",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0111",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0106",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0117",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
    "utr_diff": "0.0839",
    "utr_p1": "0.0118",
    "utr_p2": "0.0114",
    "utr_advantage": "0.1087",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
    "utr_available": "0.0118"
  }
}