Sara Saito vs Joanna Garland
WTA 125K Changsha, China Women Singles | Clay | Round of 16
03 Sep 2025, 07:30
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Sara … Joanna … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Sara Saito
Ranking #260
UTR Rating 11.33 Pro
UTR Ranking #317
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 20% (10p)
WR Clay 3/8 = 37.5%
Joanna Garland
Ranking #125
UTR Rating 11.74 Pro
UTR Ranking #170
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Clay 4/5 = 80.0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -135.0000
rank_ratio 0.4808
log_rank_ratio -0.7324
rank_tier_advantage -1.0000
points_diff -327.0000
best_rank_diff -30.0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -46.0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -9.4771
surface_matches_ratio 1.6000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1.0000
surface_wr_p1 34.0000
surface_wr_p2 80.0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 40.2125
surface_wr_p2_stable 64.7222
p1_surface_matches 8.0000
p2_surface_matches 5.0000
p1_surface_dominance -0.2500
Confianza
p1_confidence 0.4067
p2_confidence 0.3667
combined_confidence 0.3867
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -6.1310
first_serve_won_diff -7.9100
second_serve_won_diff 0.4800
bp_saved_diff -26.4700
bp_converted_diff 7.0800
aces_per_match_diff -1.1600
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0.4000
last3_wr_diff 0.0000
momentum_p1 40.0000
momentum_p2 50.0000
momentum_diff -10.0000
weighted_momentum_diff -8.5650
current_streak_diff 0.0000
days_since_last_match_p1 2.0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0.0000
match_load_p1 1.0000
match_load_p2 1.0000
match_load_diff 0.0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0.0000
h2h_matches 0.0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0.5000
h2h_on_surface 0.0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0.5000
h2h_confidence_score 0.0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0.0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0.6548
tiebreak_wr_p1 0.2500
tiebreak_wr_p2 0.5000
serve_consistency_p1 14.3643
serve_consistency_p2 13.4715
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 33.6889
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0.0250
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0.1650
elite_surface_amplifier 0.0000
UTR
utr_diff -0.4100
utr_p1 0.3918
utr_p2 0.4400
utr_advantage -3.5544
utr_both_pro 1.0000
utr_available 1.0000
utr_expected_prob 0.0000
utr_closeness 0.0000
utr_data_quality 0.0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff 0.1032
surface_rank_synergy 0.0540
points_diff 0.0344
utr_diff 0.0324
utr_advantage 0.0308
rank_tier_advantage 0.0300
rank_advantage 0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0.0206
log_rank_ratio 0.0186
utr_available 0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID 8914
API ID 14560144
Gamdom ID -
Torneo WTA 125K Changsha, China Women Singles
Superficie Clay
Ronda Round of 16
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 8914,
    "api_id": 14560144,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Sara Saito",
    "player2": "Joanna Garland",
    "tournament": "WTA 125K Changsha, China Women Singles",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2025-09-03T07:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 260,
      "utr_singles": 11.33,
      "utr_ranking": 317,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 37.5,
      "wr_surface_wins": 3,
      "wr_surface_total": 8,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 125,
      "utr_singles": 11.74,
      "utr_ranking": 170,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 80.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 4,
      "wr_surface_total": 5,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.33,
      "ranking": 317,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.74,
      "ranking": 170,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "rank_advantage": -135,
    "rank_ratio": 0.4807692307692308,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.7323678937132265,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "points_diff": -327,
    "best_rank_diff": -30,
    "surface_wr_diff": -46.0,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -9.477110297110293,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.6,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_p1": 34.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 80.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 40.21245421245421,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 64.72222222222221,
    "p1_surface_matches": 8,
    "p2_surface_matches": 5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.25,
    "p1_confidence": 0.4066666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 0.36666666666666664,
    "combined_confidence": 0.38666666666666666,
    "serve_quality_diff": -6.131,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -7.910000000000011,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0.480000000000004,
    "bp_saved_diff": -26.47,
    "bp_converted_diff": 7.079999999999991,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.1600000000000001,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "momentum_p1": 40.0,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "momentum_diff": -10.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -8.565000000000012,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6547619047619048,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.25,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 14.364278854199798,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 13.471486912863748,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 33.68892311080842,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.024999999999999967,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.16500000000000004,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
    "utr_diff": -0.41000000000000014,
    "utr_p1": 0.39176470588235296,
    "utr_p2": 0.44,
    "utr_advantage": -3.554399653229303,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0
  },
  "feature_importance": {
    "rank_advantage": "0.0264",
    "rank_ratio": "0.0154",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
    "points_diff": "0.0344",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0145",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0121",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0143",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
    "momentum_p1": "0.013",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0115",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0127",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
    "match_load_p1": "0.012",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0124",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0123",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0152",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
    "utr_diff": "0.0324",
    "utr_p1": "0.012",
    "utr_p2": "0.0115",
    "utr_advantage": "0.0308",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
    "utr_available": "0.0172"
  }
}