Lucrezia Stefanini vs Emiliana Arango
Guadalajara, Mexico | Hard | Round of 32
02 Sep 2025, 21:00
02 Sep 2025, 21:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Lucrezia … | Emiliana … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Lucrezia Stefanini
Ranking
#139
UTR Rating
11,61 Pro
UTR Ranking
#209
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
11/23 = 47,8%
Emiliana Arango
Ranking
#51
UTR Rating
11,90 Pro
UTR Ranking
#124
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
10% (10p)
WR Hard
17/31 = 54,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -88,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,3669 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,0026 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -631,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -53,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,7912 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 4,3972 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,7679 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 49,9783 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 49,1871 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 51,0638 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 46,6667 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 43,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 56,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0233 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -0,9805 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0,8620 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2,7204 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -8,5013 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -1,8742 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,6828 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 52,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 50,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 29,7300 | |
| current_streak_diff | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 7,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,5556 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,7820 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,1936 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -0,7933 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0878 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0961 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,2900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4247 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4588 | |
| utr_advantage | -2,4670 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
8919
API ID
14582707
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Guadalajara, Mexico
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 8919,
"api_id": 14582707,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Lucrezia Stefanini",
"player2": "Emiliana Arango",
"tournament": "Guadalajara, Mexico ",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-09-02T17:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 11.61,
"utr_ranking": 209,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 47.82608695652174,
"wr_surface_wins": 11,
"wr_surface_total": 23,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 11.9,
"utr_ranking": 124,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 54.83870967741935,
"wr_surface_wins": 17,
"wr_surface_total": 31,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 10.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 209,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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},
"features": {
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"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"points_diff": -631,
"best_rank_diff": -53,
"surface_wr_diff": 0.791164095371677,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 4.397163120567377,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.7678571428571429,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
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"surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.06382978723404,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 46.666666666666664,
"p1_surface_matches": 43,
"p2_surface_matches": 56,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.023255813953488372,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -0.9805160448807797,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.8619826086956479,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.7204434782608757,
"bp_saved_diff": -8.501282608695654,
"bp_converted_diff": -1.8741956521739098,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.68282889200561,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.39999999999999997,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666666,
"momentum_p1": 52.0,
"momentum_p2": 2.0,
"momentum_diff": 50.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 29.730000000000004,
"current_streak_diff": 3,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 10,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 7,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5555555555555556,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.781962676650101,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.1935548181034354,
"surface_rank_synergy": -0.7932593355669519,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.08778260869565213,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.09612903225806457,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.2900000000000009,
"utr_p1": 0.4247058823529411,
"utr_p2": 0.45882352941176474,
"utr_advantage": -2.467035304125912,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
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"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
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}