Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alex de Minaur
US Open | Hard | Quarterfinals
03 Sep 2025, 15:30
03 Sep 2025, 15:30
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Felix … | Alex … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Ranking
#5
UTR Rating
16.09 Pro
UTR Ranking
#6
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
49/79 = 62.0%
Alex de Minaur
Ranking
#7
UTR Rating
16.07 Pro
UTR Ranking
#7
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
69/98 = 70.4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 2.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1.4000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0.3365 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| points_diff | 110.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 1.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -7.4256 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -8.1621 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.8061 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 63.1410 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 70.5666 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 61.4458 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 69.6078 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 79.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 98.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.2405 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 9.9550 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 1.7788 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1.7013 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 2.4689 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -5.6185 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 4.7880 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 98.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 98.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0.0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.9496 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.8981 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.6111 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.6071 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 12.6289 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 3.9899 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -2.4985 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.1294 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.2077 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.0200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.9518 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.9494 | |
| utr_advantage | 0.1244 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
8952
API ID
14494933
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
US Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 8952,
"api_id": 14494933,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Felix Auger-Aliassime",
"player2": "Alex de Minaur",
"tournament": "US Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2025-09-03T15:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 16.09,
"utr_ranking": 6,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 62.0253164556962,
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"wr_surface_total": 79,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 16.07,
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"wr_surface": 70.40816326530613,
"wr_surface_wins": 69,
"wr_surface_total": 98,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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},
"p2": {
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"features": {
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"points_diff": 110,
"best_rank_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": -7.425570553477527,
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"surface_matches_ratio": 0.8061224489795918,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
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"surface_wr_p2": 70.56659619450316,
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"surface_wr_p2_stable": 69.6078431372549,
"p1_surface_matches": 79,
"p2_surface_matches": 98,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.24050632911392406,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 9.95503471928589,
"first_serve_won_diff": 1.7787703149563754,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.7012502845991264,
"bp_saved_diff": 2.468865596935359,
"bp_converted_diff": -5.618508284996651,
"aces_per_match_diff": 4.788012323593719,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 97.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9495967741935484,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8981324278438031,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6111111111111112,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6071428571428571,
"serve_consistency_p1": 12.628857645095225,
"serve_consistency_p2": 3.989937093911648,
"surface_rank_synergy": -2.4984983323172014,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.12941025641025639,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.20766596194503162,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.019999999999999574,
"utr_p1": 0.951764705882353,
"utr_p2": 0.9494117647058824,
"utr_advantage": 0.12437810945273367,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
"utr_p1": "0.012",
"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
"utr_available": "0.0172"
}
}