Jannik Sinner vs Lorenzo Musetti
US Open | Hard | Quarterfinals
04 Sep 2025, 05:40
04 Sep 2025, 05:40
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Jannik … | Lorenzo … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jannik Sinner
Ranking
#2
UTR Rating
16,39 Pro
UTR Ranking
#1
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
90% (10p)
WR Hard
39/42 = 92,9%
Lorenzo Musetti
Ranking
#5
UTR Rating
15,77 Pro
UTR Ranking
#9
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
22/37 = 59,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 3,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2,5000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,9163 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 7395,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 4,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 36,6803 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 37,1247 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,3768 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 14,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 93,3019 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 56,6216 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 91,9192 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 54,7945 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 95,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 69,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,8737 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 9,7244 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 9,8101 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 3,5745 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 14,2560 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 9,0924 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,8735 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 98,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 98,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,1045 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,0466 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,9000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5152 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 12,7024 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,1642 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 33,6098 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,4300 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0692 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,6200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,9871 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,9141 | |
| utr_advantage | 3,8557 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
8953
API ID
14494931
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
US Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 8953,
"api_id": 14494931,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Jannik Sinner",
"player2": "Lorenzo Musetti",
"tournament": "US Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2025-09-04T01:40:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"wr_surface": 92.85714285714286,
"wr_surface_wins": 39,
"wr_surface_total": 42,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 90.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 15.77,
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"wr_surface": 59.45945945945946,
"wr_surface_wins": 22,
"wr_surface_total": 37,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
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"form_l10_matches": 10
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},
"utr": {
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"features": {
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"points_diff": 7395,
"best_rank_diff": 4,
"surface_wr_diff": 36.68026517083121,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 37.12467137124671,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.3768115942028984,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 14,
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"surface_wr_p1_stable": 91.91919191919192,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 54.794520547945204,
"p1_surface_matches": 95,
"p2_surface_matches": 69,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.8736842105263158,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 9.72443889172191,
"first_serve_won_diff": 9.810058324834273,
"second_serve_won_diff": 3.574519059153495,
"bp_saved_diff": 14.25602849311575,
"bp_converted_diff": 9.092379207037219,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.8735270057793638,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 97.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.1044973544973544,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0466321243523315,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.9,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5151515151515151,
"serve_consistency_p1": 12.70242881820197,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.164208480509735,
"surface_rank_synergy": 33.60978701871901,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.43001886792452837,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.06921621621621621,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.620000000000001,
"utr_p1": 0.9870588235294119,
"utr_p2": 0.9141176470588235,
"utr_advantage": 3.8557213930348326,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
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}