Jannik Sinner vs Lorenzo Musetti
US Open | Hard | Quarterfinals
04 Sep 2025, 01:40
04 Sep 2025, 01:40
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Jannik … | Lorenzo … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jannik Sinner
Ranking
#2
UTR Rating
16.48 Pro
UTR Ranking
#1
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
90% (10p)
WR Hard
89/95 = 93.7%
Lorenzo Musetti
Ranking
#8
UTR Rating
16.04 Pro
UTR Ranking
#8
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
38/69 = 55.1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 6.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 4.0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1.3863 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| points_diff | 7460.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 5.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 36.6803 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 37.1247 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1.3768 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 14.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 93.3019 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 56.6216 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 91.9192 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 54.7945 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 95.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 69.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.8737 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 9.7244 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 9.8101 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 3.5745 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 14.2560 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 9.0924 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1.8735 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 98.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 98.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0.0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1.1045 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1.0466 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.9000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.5152 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 12.7024 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8.1642 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 50.8496 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.4270 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.0722 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.4400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.9976 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.9459 | |
| utr_advantage | 2.7060 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
8953
API ID
14494931
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
US Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"match": {
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"api_id": 14494931,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Jannik Sinner",
"player2": "Lorenzo Musetti",
"tournament": "US Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2025-09-04T01:40:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
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"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
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},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"wr_surface_total": 95,
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"form_l10_wr": 90.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
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},
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"utr_singles": 16.04,
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"utr": {
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"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 14,
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"surface_wr_p1_stable": 91.91919191919192,
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"p1_surface_matches": 95,
"p2_surface_matches": 69,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.8736842105263158,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 9.72443889172191,
"first_serve_won_diff": 9.810058324834273,
"second_serve_won_diff": 3.574519059153495,
"bp_saved_diff": 14.25602849311575,
"bp_converted_diff": 9.092379207037219,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.8735270057793638,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 97.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.1044973544973544,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0466321243523315,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.9,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5151515151515151,
"serve_consistency_p1": 12.70242881820197,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.164208480509735,
"surface_rank_synergy": 50.84964477070563,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.42701886792452837,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.07221621621621621,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.4400000000000013,
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"utr_p2": 0.9458823529411764,
"utr_advantage": 2.706027060270611,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
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"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
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"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
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}