Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka
US Open | Hard | Quarterfinals
04 Sep 2025, 03:25
04 Sep 2025, 03:25
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Karolina … | Naomi … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Karolina Muchova
Ranking
#19
UTR Rating
12,57 Pro
UTR Ranking
#18
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
24/37 = 64,9%
Naomi Osaka
Ranking
#17
UTR Rating
12,60 Pro
UTR Ranking
#15
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
90% (10p)
WR Hard
23/31 = 74,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -2,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,8947 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,1112 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -283,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -7,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -0,3459 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 2,2316 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,0182 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 69,0896 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 69,4355 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 68,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 66,1017 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 56,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 55,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,3929 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -8,2935 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -5,6329 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1,2512 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 2,4058 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -8,4931 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2,5508 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 98,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 98,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,1027 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,0576 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6429 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5263 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,7379 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9,2486 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0385 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1929 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1924 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,0300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5376 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5412 | |
| utr_advantage | -0,2384 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
8955
API ID
14495004
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
US Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 8955,
"api_id": 14495004,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Karolina Muchova",
"player2": "Naomi Osaka",
"tournament": "US Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2025-09-03T23:25:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 12.57,
"utr_ranking": 18,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 64.86486486486487,
"wr_surface_wins": 24,
"wr_surface_total": 37,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 12.6,
"utr_ranking": 15,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 74.19354838709677,
"wr_surface_wins": 23,
"wr_surface_total": 31,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 90.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 18,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 15,
"division": "Pro",
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}
},
"features": {
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"log_rank_ratio": -0.11122563511022437,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"points_diff": -283,
"best_rank_diff": -7,
"surface_wr_diff": -0.3458679392465456,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 2.2316384180790863,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.018181818181818,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 69.0896159317212,
"surface_wr_p2": 69.43548387096774,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 68.33333333333333,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 66.10169491525424,
"p1_surface_matches": 56,
"p2_surface_matches": 55,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.39285714285714285,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -8.29348063024824,
"first_serve_won_diff": -5.632939189189187,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.2512162162162284,
"bp_saved_diff": 2.4058445945945977,
"bp_converted_diff": -8.493074324324326,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.5508230853943923,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 97.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": -1,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.1027397260273972,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0576131687242798,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6428571428571429,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5263157894736842,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.737920543893709,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.24857368087164,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.03846938120696153,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.19289615931721193,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.1923548387096774,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.02999999999999936,
"utr_p1": 0.5376470588235295,
"utr_p2": 0.5411764705882353,
"utr_advantage": -0.23837902264600205,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}