Maria Carle vs Maria Timofeeva
WTA 125K Changsha, China Women Singles | Clay | Quarterfinals
04 Sep 2025, 07:30
04 Sep 2025, 07:30
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Maria … | Maria … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Maria Carle
Ranking
#151
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Clay
40/65 = 61.5%
Maria Timofeeva
Ranking
#142
UTR Rating
11.90 Pro
UTR Ranking
#129
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Clay
7/18 = 38.9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -9.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.9404 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0.0615 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| points_diff | -31.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 22.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 13.8509 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 15.9684 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 3.6111 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 2.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 58.8509 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 45.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 60.8696 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 40.9091 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 65.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 18.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.2308 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0.6000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.8000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0.1231 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 4.7900 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -3.5500 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0.6100 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -5.0200 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0.6035 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 72.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 72.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0.2800 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.6500 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.4634 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.4615 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9.9530 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8.5435 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -0.8512 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.0975 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.0590 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.4588 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.4588 | |
| utr_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0.0000 | |
| utr_available | 0.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
8981
API ID
14560142
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
WTA 125K Changsha, China Women Singles
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 8981,
"api_id": 14560142,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Maria Carle",
"player2": "Maria Timofeeva",
"tournament": "WTA 125K Changsha, China Women Singles",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2025-09-04T07:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 151,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
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"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 61.53846153846154,
"wr_surface_wins": 40,
"wr_surface_total": 65,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 142,
"utr_singles": 11.9,
"utr_ranking": 129,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 38.88888888888889,
"wr_surface_wins": 7,
"wr_surface_total": 18,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 129,
"division": "Pro",
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}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 0.9403973509933775,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.061452779213663565,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"points_diff": -31,
"best_rank_diff": 22,
"surface_wr_diff": 13.850931677018636,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 15.96837944664032,
"surface_matches_ratio": 3.611111111111111,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_p1": 58.850931677018636,
"surface_wr_p2": 45.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 60.86956521739131,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 40.909090909090914,
"p1_surface_matches": 65,
"p2_surface_matches": 18,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.23076923076923078,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.6,
"combined_confidence": 0.8,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.1230641821946108,
"first_serve_won_diff": 4.789999999999992,
"second_serve_won_diff": -3.549999999999997,
"bp_saved_diff": 0.6099999999999994,
"bp_converted_diff": -5.019999999999989,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.6034679089026915,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 72.0,
"momentum_p2": 72.0,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0.2799999999999869,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.65,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.4634146341463415,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.46153846153846156,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.952985862902432,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.543536932814952,
"surface_rank_synergy": -0.8511782462513651,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.09750931677018637,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.059,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"utr_p1": 0.45882352941176474,
"utr_p2": 0.45882352941176474,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
"utr_p1": "0.012",
"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
"utr_available": "0.0172"
}
}